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康复“黑匣子”研究:III类错误的风险。

Research into the black box of rehabilitation: the risks of a Type III error.

作者信息

Wade D T

出版信息

Clin Rehabil. 2001 Feb;15(1):1-4. doi: 10.1191/026921501675961253.

DOI:10.1191/026921501675961253
PMID:11237155
Abstract

Type I and Type II errors in the interpretation of data from clinical trials concern statistical matters, and the probability of drawing erroneous conclusions from inadequate data. However in rehabilitation research a third possible error may arise. Successful rehabilitation depends upon the co-ordinated work of an expert multidisciplinary team, and can be considered as a network involving a whole system. Demonstrating that one part of that system looked at in isolation does not have the expected effect does not prove that the specific part is not necessary to the success of the whole system. The isolated intervention may still have an important effect when interacting with other variables or interventions. Failure to consider the interactive effects of an intervention might constitute a Type III interpretation error.

摘要

在解释临床试验数据时,I型和II型错误涉及统计学问题,以及从不充分的数据得出错误结论的可能性。然而,在康复研究中,可能会出现第三种错误。成功的康复取决于专家多学科团队的协同工作,并且可以被视为一个涉及整个系统的网络。证明孤立看待的系统的某一部分没有预期效果,并不能证明该特定部分对于整个系统的成功不是必需的。当与其他变量或干预措施相互作用时,孤立的干预措施可能仍然具有重要作用。未能考虑干预措施的交互作用可能构成III型解释错误。

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