Mitchell M, Campbell C
Pest Management Regulatory Agency, Health Canada, Sir Charles Tupper Building, 2270 Riverside Drive, K1A 0K9, Ottawa, Canada.
Ann Occup Hyg. 2001 Apr;45 Suppl 1:S43-7. doi: 10.1016/s0003-4878(00)00098-3.
An overview of the considerations central to selection of probabilistic versus deterministic approaches to assessment of operator and residential exposure are provided. From a regulatory perspective, the decision to use probabilistic over deterministic assessments should include consideration of factors such as the nature of the populations being assessed, including the expected duration and frequency of their exposures, as well as an understanding of the toxicity endpoints that the exposure assessment will be linked to during risk assessment. In situations where there is an identifiable need to characterize variability and uncertainty and/or quantify the exposure that will represent most of the exposed population, and where there are adequate data to characterize input parameters, probabilistic assessments may be appropriate. Issues with respect to probabilistic assessments for which detailed, harmonized guidance are required are outlined. These issues are discussed within the context of a tiered approach to exposure and risk assessment.
本文概述了选择概率法与确定性方法来评估操作人员和居民暴露情况时的核心考量因素。从监管角度来看,决定采用概率评估而非确定性评估应考虑诸多因素,如被评估人群的性质,包括其预期暴露持续时间和频率,以及对暴露评估在风险评估期间将与之关联的毒性终点的理解。在有明确需求来描述变异性和不确定性以及/或者量化代表大多数暴露人群的暴露量,并且有足够数据来描述输入参数的情况下,概率评估可能是合适的。文中概述了需要详细、统一指导的概率评估相关问题。这些问题在分层暴露和风险评估方法的背景下进行了讨论。