Baillargeon R H, Boulerice B, Tremblay R E, Zoccolillo M, Vitaro F, Kohen D E
Université de Montréal, Research Unit on Children's Psychosocial Maladjustment, Hĵpital Sainte-Justine Research Centre, Québec, Canada.
J Child Psychol Psychiatry. 2001 May;42(4):463-73.
Epidemiological surveys of child and adolescent mental disorders often rely on multiple informants to get a complete diagnostic picture. A consistent finding in the literature is that different informants often do not identify the same children as being disordered. However, because current strategies for estimating interinformant agreement often involve categorizing children using less than perfectly sensitive and/or specific symptoms, biased estimates of interinformant agreement are likely. The aim of this report was to illustrate how latent class analysis (LCA) can be used to model interinformant agreement in the absence of a "gold standard". The proposed model consists of informant-specific latent variables each made up of two or more latent classes corresponding to different levels of symptomatology. Unlike most previous applications of LCA this model allows us to model the extent to which the prevalence of the disorder is the same across informants; and, in addition, the association between informants. The data set comes from a prospective longitudinal study of 2,264 children from Quebec (1,155 boys and 1,109 girls). In grade 2, teachers and mothers independently rated each child on three physical aggression behavior symptoms. We satisfactorily accounted for the cross-classification of the behavior symptoms by postulating the existence of two latent variables--one for each informant each made up of three latent classes of children: low-, medium-, and high-aggressive. The results showed that the prevalence of low- and medium-aggressive children in the population differed from teacher to mother, but that the prevalence of high-aggressive children did not. We found that the association between teacher and mother was large and positive and did not vary according to the child's physical aggression state or gender; in contrast, the association between physical aggression and gender was not the same for mother and teacher. Limitations and other potential applications of the proposed model are discussed.
儿童和青少年精神障碍的流行病学调查通常依靠多个信息提供者来获取完整的诊断情况。文献中一个一致的发现是,不同的信息提供者往往不会将同一批儿童认定为患有精神障碍。然而,由于目前估计信息提供者之间一致性的策略通常涉及使用敏感度和/或特异度并非完美的症状对儿童进行分类,所以很可能会得出有偏差的信息提供者之间一致性估计。本报告的目的是说明在没有“金标准”的情况下,如何使用潜在类别分析(LCA)来对信息提供者之间的一致性进行建模。所提出的模型由特定于信息提供者的潜在变量组成,每个潜在变量由两个或更多对应于不同症状水平的潜在类别组成。与LCA以前的大多数应用不同,该模型使我们能够对该障碍在不同信息提供者中的患病率相同的程度进行建模;此外,还能对信息提供者之间的关联进行建模。数据集来自对魁北克2264名儿童(1155名男孩和1109名女孩)进行的一项前瞻性纵向研究。在二年级时,教师和母亲分别根据三种身体攻击行为症状对每个孩子进行评分。通过假设存在两个潜在变量,我们令人满意地解释了行为症状的交叉分类——每个信息提供者对应一个潜在变量,每个潜在变量由三类具有不同攻击水平的儿童组成:低攻击型、中等攻击型和高攻击型。结果表明,人群中低攻击型和中等攻击型儿童的患病率在教师和母亲之间存在差异,但高攻击型儿童的患病率没有差异。我们发现教师和母亲之间的关联很大且呈正相关,并且不随孩子的身体攻击状态或性别而变化;相比之下,母亲和教师所认为的身体攻击与性别的关联并不相同。文中还讨论了所提出模型的局限性和其他潜在应用。