Schexnayder H P, Reagan T E, Ring D R
Louisiana State University Agricultural Center, Baton Rouge 70803-1710, USA.
J Econ Entomol. 2001 Jun;94(3):766-71. doi: 10.1603/0022-0493-94.3.766.
A 3-yr study was conducted in 0.6- to 2.0-ha sugarcane fields throughout south Louisiana under varying sugarcane borer, Diatraea saccharalis (F.), density levels to determine the spatial dispersion of infestations and to develop a sequential sampling plan. Infestations of D. saccharalis were randomly dispersed. Infestation levels (percentage of stalks infested) ranged from 0.6 to 33.3%. Frequency distributions of the number of infested stalks indicated that the Poisson distribution best fit the data Tests of other distributions (negative binomial [aggregated], binomial [uniform], geometric, and hypergeometric) resulted in poorer fits. The sequential sampling plan devised, with lower and upper D. saccharalis infestation limits of 2 and 5% and 5 and 10%, required maximum average sample numbers of 7.1 and 5.5 (20-stalk samples), respectively, to make terminating management decisions. It is our assessment that implementation of these plans would decrease sampling effort by 50-60% when compared with sampling programs currently in use for D. saccharalis management decisions in Louisiana.
在路易斯安那州南部0.6至2.0公顷的甘蔗田中进行了一项为期3年的研究,研究在不同甘蔗螟虫(Diatraea saccharalis (F.))密度水平下展开,以确定虫害的空间分布并制定序贯抽样计划。甘蔗螟虫的侵害呈随机分布。侵害水平(受侵害茎秆的百分比)在0.6%至33.3%之间。受侵害茎秆数量的频率分布表明泊松分布最适合这些数据。对其他分布(负二项分布[聚集型]、二项分布[均匀型]、几何分布和超几何分布)的测试结果拟合度较差。制定的序贯抽样计划中,甘蔗螟虫侵害的下限和上限分别为2%和5%以及5%和10%,做出终止管理决策所需的最大平均样本数分别为7.1和5.5(20茎秆样本)。我们评估,与路易斯安那州目前用于甘蔗螟虫管理决策的抽样程序相比,实施这些计划将使抽样工作量减少50 - 60%。