Gokhale A A
Department of Industrial Technology, Illinois State University, Normal, Illinois 61790-5100, USA.
Environ Manage. 2001 Aug;28(2):187-93. doi: 10.1007/s002670010217.
India is fast finding its place in the industrialized world and that is beginning to raise its environmental consciousness. The Delphi technique was used to prioritize specific needs and articulate a sustainable urban improvement strategy for the city of Mumbai (formerly Bombay). The Delphi technique is a means of achieving consensual validity among raters by providing them feedback regarding other raters' responses. Mumbai has several indigenous environmental groups that were tapped for activists and leaders; the study was conducted using ten environmentalists. In the initial phases the responses resulted in a range of possible program alternatives. The last two stages helped to seek out information that generated a consensus on the part of the respondent group. Statistical analysis methods included a hierarchical cluster analysis, mean, median, mode, and percent of agreement calculations using SPSS software. The face-to-face discussion in phase 4 clarified some issues and helped the group as a whole to outline the strategy for putting in place the essential elements of a framework to improve the quality of life in an urban environment.
印度正在迅速在工业化世界中找到自己的位置，并且其环境意识也开始有所提高。德尔菲技术被用于确定特定需求的优先级，并为孟买市（原称 Bombay）制定一项可持续的城市改善战略。德尔菲技术是一种通过向评分者提供其他评分者的反馈来在评分者之间达成共识有效性的方法。孟买有几个本土环境团体，从中挑选了活动人士和领导人；该研究由十位环保主义者进行。在初始阶段，这些回应产生了一系列可能的项目备选方案。最后两个阶段有助于寻找能让受访者群体达成共识的信息。统计分析方法包括使用SPSS软件进行层次聚类分析、计算均值、中位数、众数以及一致性百分比。第四阶段的面对面讨论澄清了一些问题，并帮助整个团队勾勒出在城市环境中实施提高生活质量框架基本要素的战略。
