Kasting J F, Ackerman T P
Space Science Division, NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA 94035, USA.
Science. 1986 Dec 12;234:1383-5. doi: 10.1126/science.11539665.
The possible consequences of very high carbon dioxide concentrations in the earth's early atmosphere have been investigated with a radiative-convective climate model. The early atmosphere would apparently have been stable against the onset of a runaway greenhouse (that is, the complete evaporation of the oceans) for carbon dioxide pressures up to at least 100 bars. A 10- to 20-bar carbon dioxide atmosphere, such as may have existed during the first several hundred million years of the earth's history, would have had a surface temperature of approximately 85 degrees to 110 degrees C. The early stratosphere should have been dry, thereby precluding the possibility of an oxygenic prebiotic atmosphere caused by photodissociation of water vapor followed by escape of hydrogen to space. Earth's present atmosphere also appears to be stable against a carbon dioxide-induced runaway greenhouse.
利用辐射对流气候模型研究了地球早期大气中二氧化碳浓度极高时可能产生的后果。对于至少高达100巴的二氧化碳压力,早期大气显然对失控温室效应(即海洋完全蒸发)的发生具有稳定性。在地球历史的最初几亿年里可能存在的10至20巴二氧化碳大气,其地表温度大约为85摄氏度至110摄氏度。早期平流层应该是干燥的,从而排除了由水蒸气光解然后氢逃逸到太空导致有氧益生元前体大气的可能性。地球目前的大气似乎对二氧化碳引起的失控温室效应也具有稳定性。