Marsh G M, Buchanich J M, Youk A O
Department of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15261, USA.
J Occup Environ Med. 2001 Sep;43(9):803-8. doi: 10.1097/00043764-200109000-00009.
To date, the US cohort study of man-made vitreous fiber workers has provided no consistent evidence of a relationship between man-made vitreous fiber exposure and mortality from malignant or non-malignant respiratory disease. Nevertheless, there have been small, overall excesses in respiratory system cancer (RSC) among workers from the fiberglass and rock/slag wool production plants included in the study that were unexplained by estimated worker exposures to respirable fiber or other agents present in the plants. The present investigation was designed to provide a quantitative estimate of the extent to which the overall excess in RSC mortality observed at the total cohort level among male fiberglass and rock/slag wool workers is a result of the positive confounding effects of cigarette smoking. Because cigarette-smoking data were neither available nor obtainable at the individual level for all members of the fiberglass and rock/slag wool cohorts, we used the "indirect" method to adjust RSC standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) at the group (cohort and plant) level. Our adjustment suggested that cigarette smoking accounts for all of the 7% and 24% excesses in RSC observed, respectively, for the male fiberglass and rock/slag wool cohorts in the latest mortality updates. The same conclusion was reached regardless of which of several alternative formulations were used to adjust local rate-based RSC SMRs. We found that our smoking adjustments were robust with respect to several alternative characterizations and (with the exception of one fiberglass plant) produced adjusted RSC SMRs that were lower than their unadjusted counterparts. Further, all statistically significantly elevated unadjusted SMRs were reduced to not statistically significant levels. These results reaffirm that RSC SMRs based on US and local rates must take into account the potential confounding effects of cigarette smoking. They also suggest that the use of local county mortality rate-based SMRs may not help to adjust for cigarette smoking to the degree suggested by some investigators.
迄今为止,美国针对人造玻璃纤维工人的队列研究尚未提供一致证据,证明人造玻璃纤维暴露与恶性或非恶性呼吸道疾病死亡率之间存在关联。然而,在该研究纳入的玻璃纤维及岩石/矿渣棉生产厂工人中,呼吸系统癌症(RSC)总体上有少量超额病例,而根据工人可吸入纤维或工厂中存在的其他物质的估计暴露量,无法解释这些超额病例。本调查旨在定量估计在男性玻璃纤维和岩石/矿渣棉工人的整个队列水平上观察到的RSC死亡率总体超额,在多大程度上是吸烟的正向混杂效应所致。由于无法获取玻璃纤维和岩石/矿渣棉队列所有成员的个体层面吸烟数据,我们采用“间接”方法在组(队列和工厂)层面调整RSC标准化死亡比(SMR)。我们的调整表明,在最新的死亡率更新中,吸烟分别导致男性玻璃纤维和岩石/矿渣棉队列中观察到的RSC超额7%和24%。无论使用几种替代公式中的哪一种来调整基于当地发病率的RSC SMR,都得出了相同的结论。我们发现,我们的吸烟调整对于几种替代特征描述具有稳健性,并且(除了一家玻璃纤维厂)产生的调整后RSC SMR低于未调整的对应值。此外,所有统计学上显著升高的未调整SMR都降至无统计学显著性水平。这些结果再次证实,基于美国和当地发病率的RSC SMR必须考虑吸烟的潜在混杂效应。它们还表明,使用基于当地县死亡率的SMR可能无法像一些研究者所建议的那样,在很大程度上调整吸烟因素。