Lundrigan S, Canter D
The Institute of Criminology, Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand.
Behav Sci Law. 2001;19(4):595-610. doi: 10.1002/bsl.431.
Although the murders committed by serial killers may not be considered rational, there is growing evidence that the locations in which they commit their crimes may be guided by an implicit, if limited rationality. The hypothesized logic of disposal site choice of serial killers led to predictions that (a) their criminal domains would be around their home base and relate to familiar travel distances, (b) they would have a size that was characteristic of each offender, (c) the distribution would be biased towards other non-criminal activities, and (d) the size of the domains would increase over time. Examination of the geographical distribution of the sites at which 126 US and 29 UK serial killers disposed of their victims' bodies supported all four hypotheses. It was found that rational choice and routine activity models of criminal behavior could explain the spatial choices of serial murderers. It was concluded that the locations at which serial killers dispose of their victims' bodies reflect the inherent logic of the choices that underlie their predatory activities.
尽管连环杀手实施的谋杀行为可能不被视为理性行为,但越来越多的证据表明,他们实施犯罪的地点可能受到一种隐含的、即便有限的理性的引导。关于连环杀手弃尸地点选择的假设逻辑导致了以下预测:(a)他们的犯罪区域会在其大本营周边,并与熟悉的出行距离相关;(b)每个犯罪者的犯罪区域都有其特征性的范围;(c)犯罪区域的分布会偏向于其他非犯罪活动;(d)犯罪区域的范围会随着时间推移而扩大。对126名美国连环杀手和29名英国连环杀手弃尸地点的地理分布进行的研究支持了所有这四个假设。研究发现,犯罪行为的理性选择和日常活动模型能够解释连环杀手的空间选择。研究得出结论,连环杀手弃尸的地点反映了其掠夺活动背后选择的内在逻辑。