Silva L C, Benavides A
Vicerrectoría de Investigación y Posgrado. ISCM/H. La Habana. Cuba.
Gac Sanit. 2001 Jul-Aug;15(4):341-6. doi: 10.1016/s0213-9111(01)71578-6.
The serious objections made with regard to significance tests account for the necessity of employing another inferential procedure. Bayesian methods are free of such objections, and they provide a very attractive alternative. By means of a simple example, this article illustrates how a typical problem of medical research could be solved using these two approaches. Bayesian methods offer more information and are more useful than conventional ones for analyzing experimental outcomes. In addition, a natural interpretation of conclusions are given by Bayesian methods. Finally, modern computational programs allow us to solve their complex calculation.
对显著性检验提出的严重异议说明了采用另一种推断程序的必要性。贝叶斯方法不存在此类异议,并且提供了一个非常有吸引力的替代方案。通过一个简单的例子,本文说明了如何使用这两种方法解决医学研究中的一个典型问题。贝叶斯方法比传统方法提供更多信息,并且在分析实验结果时更有用。此外,贝叶斯方法对结论给出了自然的解释。最后,现代计算程序使我们能够解决其复杂的计算问题。