Helmer C, Joly P, Letenneur L, Commenges D, Dartigues J F
INSERM U 330, Université de Bordeaux II, Bordeaux, France.
Am J Epidemiol. 2001 Oct 1;154(7):642-8. doi: 10.1093/aje/154.7.642.
Despite the magnitude of the problem, little is known about the duration of dementia. Survival and risk factors of mortality with dementia and the impact of dementia on the risk of death were investigated using the Personnes Agées Quid (PAQUID) prospective population-based cohort study between 1988 and 1998. Statistical models dealing with interval censoring were performed. Among 3,675 participants aged 65 years or older and initially nondemented, 2,923 have been followed up for 8 years. Of these, 281 persons with incident dementia were actively diagnosed. The mean age of onset of dementia was 82.3 years. In the total population, the relative risk of dying after developing dementia was estimated to be 1.82 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.77, 2.68) when adjusted for sociodemographic variables and comorbidity. Deaths from cerebrovascular diseases and respiratory diseases were particularly increased among persons with dementia, compared with those without. The median survival time of the persons with dementia was estimated to be 4.5 years. Women with dementia had a longer survival than did men with dementia, particularly for Alzheimer-type dementia (relative risk = 0.47, 95% CI: 0.27, 0.83). Educational level was not significantly associated with survival in persons with dementia. These results provide further evidence of the malignancy of dementia, which will be a challenge for the 21st century.
尽管该问题规模巨大,但对于痴呆症的病程却知之甚少。利用1988年至1998年基于人群的前瞻性队列研究“Personnes Agées Quid(PAQUID)”,对痴呆症患者的生存情况、死亡风险因素以及痴呆症对死亡风险的影响进行了调查。采用了处理区间删失的统计模型。在3675名65岁及以上且最初无痴呆症的参与者中,2923人接受了8年的随访。其中,281例新发痴呆症患者得到了积极诊断。痴呆症的平均发病年龄为82.3岁。在总体人群中,在对社会人口学变量和合并症进行调整后,患痴呆症后死亡的相对风险估计为1.82(95%置信区间(CI):1.77,2.68)。与无痴呆症者相比,痴呆症患者中脑血管疾病和呼吸道疾病导致的死亡尤其增多。痴呆症患者的中位生存时间估计为4.5年。患有痴呆症的女性比患有痴呆症的男性生存时间更长,尤其是阿尔茨海默型痴呆症患者(相对风险 = 0.47,95% CI:0.27,0.83)。教育水平与痴呆症患者的生存情况无显著关联。这些结果进一步证明了痴呆症的严重性,这将是21世纪面临的一项挑战。