Brenner H, Arndt V, Stürmer T, Stegmaier C, Ziegler H, Dhom G
Department of Epidemiology, German Centre for Research on Ageing, Bergheimer Str. 20, D-69115 Heidelberg, Germany.
Br J Cancer. 2001 Sep 28;85(7):972-6. doi: 10.1054/bjoc.2001.2023.
Several studies have suggested that incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer (CRC) may be strongly reduced for up to 10 years by endoscopic screening with removal of precancerous lesions, but so far there are no data on risk reduction beyond this period. We assessed long-term reduction of CRC risk following screening endoscopy in a statewide population-based case-control study in Saarland, Germany. Lifetime history of screening endoscopy was compared between 320 cases with CRC aged 45-80 and 263 controls with other forms of cancer recruited from the same population. Potential confounding factors were controlled for by multiple logistic regression. 11% of cases compared to 27% of controls had a history of endoscopy for screening purposes (adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 0.28, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.16-0.48). This strong risk reduction was also seen (OR = 0.41, 95% CI: 0.19-0.89) in subjects who had their last screening endoscopy more than 10 years ago (median: 18.9 years). Long term (> 10 years since last screening) risk reduction appeared to be particularly strong for advanced (Dukes C or D) CRC (OR = 0.19, 95% CI: 0.06-0.64). We conclude that risk reduction by screening endoscopy is long lasting, in particular with respect to advanced CRC.
多项研究表明,通过内镜筛查切除癌前病变,结直肠癌(CRC)的发病率和死亡率可能会在长达10年的时间里大幅降低,但迄今为止,尚无关于这一时期之后风险降低的数据。在德国萨尔州一项基于全州人口的病例对照研究中,我们评估了筛查性内镜检查后结直肠癌风险的长期降低情况。比较了320例年龄在45 - 80岁的结直肠癌患者与从同一人群中招募的263例患有其他癌症的对照者的内镜筛查终生史。通过多重逻辑回归控制潜在的混杂因素。11%的病例与27%的对照者有过筛查性内镜检查史(调整后的优势比(OR)= 0.28,95%置信区间(CI):0.16 - 0.48)。在最后一次筛查性内镜检查超过10年(中位数:18.9年)的受试者中也观察到了这种显著的风险降低(OR = 0.41,95% CI:0.19 - 0.89)。对于晚期(杜克C期或D期)结直肠癌,长期(自上次筛查以来> 10年)风险降低似乎尤为显著(OR = 0.19,95% CI:0.06 - 0.64)。我们得出结论,筛查性内镜检查降低风险的效果是持久的,尤其是对于晚期结直肠癌。