Neto O L, Barros M B, Martelli C M, Silva S A, Cavenaghi S M, Siqueira J B
Instituto de Patologia Tropical e Saúde Pública, Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, GO, 74605-050, Brasil.
Cad Saude Publica. 2001 Sep-Oct;17(5):1241-50.
The aim of this study was to investigate the spatial pattern of neonatal and post-neonatal mortality in the city of Goiânia, Central Brazil. Analyses were based on linked birth and death certificates relating to 101,000 in-hospital live births from mothers residing in the city of Goiânia over the 1992-1996 period. Overall neonatal and post-neonatal mortality probabilities were calculated using the linked database. The empirical Bayes method was applied to smooth the estimated rates and minimize random fluctuation. Spatial units of analysis were 65 urban districts, corresponding to the urban planning sectors. The following exploratory spatial analyses were applied: "global" Moran's I statistic, local Moran LISA map, and Gi* local statistics. For both neonatal and post-neonatal mortality there was statistically significant spatial autocorrelation. Results of post-neonatal mortality showed a high-risk cluster located on the outskirts of the city. For the neonatal period, a heterogeneous mortality pattern was found with high-risk districts in all regions, including central areas.
本研究旨在调查巴西中部戈亚尼亚市新生儿及新生儿后期死亡率的空间分布模式。分析基于1992 - 1996年期间戈亚尼亚市常住母亲的101,000例院内活产的关联出生和死亡证明。使用关联数据库计算总体新生儿及新生儿后期死亡率概率。应用经验贝叶斯方法平滑估计率并最小化随机波动。分析的空间单位为65个市区,对应城市规划部门。应用了以下探索性空间分析方法:“全局”莫兰指数统计量、局部莫兰LISA图和Gi*局部统计量。新生儿及新生儿后期死亡率均存在统计学显著的空间自相关性。新生儿后期死亡率结果显示在城市郊区存在一个高风险聚集区。对于新生儿期,发现死亡率模式存在异质性,所有区域包括中心区域均有高风险区。