Rao P S, Karat A B, Kaliaperumal V G, Karat S
Int J Lepr Other Mycobact Dis. 1975 Jan-Mar;43(1):45-54.
As part of the leprosy control program, population follow-up studies were carried out during 1962 to 1970 in Gudiyatham Taluk, an administrative unit in South India (population: 400,000). More than 97% of the 23,285 contacts from 5,088 families having a leprosy patient were clinically examined using accepted methodology and confirmed as having or not having leprosy. New cases developing among household contacts of leprosy (secondary attack rates) were determined and studied in relation to characteristics of the index case and that of contacts. The secondary attack rate is defined as the number of new cases discovered in the contacts of leprosy patients per 1,000 person-years, which is equivalent to observing 1,000 persons per year. Nearly two-thirds of all new cases were of the tuberculoid type of leprosy and another one-sixth of indeterminate type. Lepromatous and borderline cases each constituted about ten percent of the total new cases. The total secondary attack rate was 6.8 per 1,000 person-years. Compared to an annual incidence rate of 0.8 per 1,000 in the total population, this incidence rate among the contacts is nearly ten times higher. Such enhanced risks are observed clearly and consistently when studied by the number of patients within a family for both sexes and in various age-groups. The rate for females (6.3 per 1,000 person-year) though less, was not significantly different from that of males (7.1 per 1,000 person-year). The differences observed between males and females for each type of leprosy were also not statistically significant. The risks for children (less than 15 years) are significantly higher than those for adults. Among boys, the maximum risk was observed in the age-group 5-14 years, whereas for females the risk is highest in the age-group 5-9 years, dropping down significantly after that. Furthermore, it was observed that significant differences existed between children and adults only in males but not in females. The secondary attack rates almost doubled when there were multiple index cases in the family. Regardless of the number of index cases, the male-female differences were not statistically significant. Attack rates were significantly enhanced when there was a bacilliferous type of leprosy (lepromatous or borderline) in the family. This was true for the specific attack rates of each type of leprosy too. However, a significantly higher proportion of lepromatous and borderline types is also seen when there is a bacilliferous type of leprosy present. The study reiterates the differences in susceptibility to leprosy among males and females, especially during younger ages. Further immunological studies are necessary to determine the differences in host responses in males and females that produce such a characteristic sex-ratio in prevalence of leprosy. There is still a great need to obtain more data on incidence rates both in general population and among contacts on the basis of prospective observation using acceptable statistical technics in design and analysis.
作为麻风病控制项目的一部分,1962年至1970年期间,在印度南部一个行政区古迪亚瑟姆乡(人口40万)开展了人群随访研究。来自5088个有麻风病患者家庭的23285名接触者中,超过97%按照公认方法接受了临床检查,并被确诊是否患有麻风病。确定了麻风病家庭接触者中出现的新病例(二代发病率),并针对索引病例和接触者的特征进行了研究。二代发病率的定义是每1000人年在麻风病患者接触者中发现的新病例数,这相当于每年观察1000人。所有新病例中近三分之二为结核样型麻风病,另有六分之一为未定类。瘤型和界线类病例各占新病例总数的约10%。总二代发病率为每1000人年6.8例。与总人口中每年每1000人0.8例的发病率相比,接触者中的发病率几乎高出十倍。在按家庭中患者数量对不同性别和各年龄组进行研究时,这种风险增加的情况清晰且一致地显现出来。女性的发病率(每1000人年6.3例)虽然较低,但与男性(每1000人年7.1例)无显著差异。每种麻风病类型在男性和女性之间观察到的差异也无统计学意义。儿童(15岁以下)的风险明显高于成年人。在男孩中,5 - 14岁年龄组的风险最高,而对于女性,5 - 9岁年龄组的风险最高,之后显著下降。此外,观察到儿童和成年人之间的显著差异仅存在于男性中,女性中不存在。当家庭中有多个索引病例时,二代发病率几乎翻倍。无论索引病例数量如何,男女差异均无统计学意义。当家庭中有带菌型麻风病(瘤型或界线类)时,发病率显著增加。每种麻风病类型的特定发病率也是如此。然而,当存在带菌型麻风病时,瘤型和界线类的比例也显著更高。该研究重申了男性和女性对麻风病易感性的差异,尤其是在年轻时。需要进一步开展免疫学研究,以确定男性和女性宿主反应的差异,正是这种差异导致了麻风病患病率中出现如此特征性的性别比例。仍然非常需要基于设计和分析中使用可接受的统计技术进行前瞻性观察,获取更多关于一般人群和接触者发病率的数据。