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生态学工具：对评估感染风险模型有用吗？

Tools from ecology: useful for evaluating infection risk models?

作者信息

Brooker Simon, Hay Simon I, Bundy Don A P

机构信息

Dept of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College School of Medicine, Norfolk Place, W2 1PG, London, UK.

出版信息

Trends Parasitol. 2002 Feb;18(2):70-4. doi: 10.1016/s1471-4922(01)02223-1.

DOI:10.1016/s1471-4922(01)02223-1
PMID:11832297
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3166848/
Abstract

Despite the increasing number of models to predict infection risk for a range of diseases, the assessment of their spatial limits, predictive performance and practical application are not widely undertaken. Using the example of Schistosoma haematobium in Africa, this article illustrates how ecozonation and receiver-operator characteristic analysis can help to assess the usefulness of available models objectively.

摘要

尽管预测一系列疾病感染风险的模型数量不断增加，但对其空间局限性、预测性能和实际应用的评估尚未广泛开展。本文以非洲的埃及血吸虫为例，阐述了生态分区和受试者工作特征分析如何有助于客观评估现有模型的实用性。

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