Pignon J P, Hill C
Biostatistics and Epidemiology Unit, Institut Gustave-Roussy, Villejuif, France.
Lancet Oncol. 2001 Aug;2(8):475-82. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(01)00453-3.
A meta-analysis is a quantitative synthesis of randomised clinical trials, used to evaluate moderate treatment effects in oncology. It is complementary to large-scale trials. We describes the principles, methods, and limits of meta-analyses. The gold standard for a meta-analysis is to obtain individual patient data directly from each principal investigator, but this is time-consuming and costly. The main steps of a meta-analysis using individual patient data are described. Multidisciplinary collaboration is needed for clinical insight and critical review of the data and results. Meta-analysis should include an evaluation of the trial quality, a quantification of the overall treatment effect, a study of the variations seen in this effect between trials, and pre-planned exploratory analyses to identify groups of patients who may benefit more from the treatment. Statistical methods are explained using real working examples. Since literature-based meta-analysis can lead to seriously biased assessments, meta-analyses of individual patient data should be undertaken systematically when long-term follow-up is needed, when a detailed analysis is important, or when the literature-based meta-analyses are not in agreement. The main factors which influence the quality of a meta-analysis are discussed.
荟萃分析是对随机临床试验的定量综合,用于评估肿瘤学中的中度治疗效果。它是大规模试验的补充。我们描述了荟萃分析的原则、方法和局限性。荟萃分析的金标准是直接从每位主要研究者处获取个体患者数据,但这既耗时又昂贵。描述了使用个体患者数据进行荟萃分析的主要步骤。临床洞察力以及对数据和结果的批判性审查需要多学科合作。荟萃分析应包括对试验质量的评估、总体治疗效果的量化、试验间该效果差异的研究,以及为识别可能从治疗中获益更多的患者群体而进行的预先计划的探索性分析。使用实际工作示例解释统计方法。由于基于文献的荟萃分析可能导致严重有偏差的评估,因此在需要长期随访、详细分析很重要或基于文献的荟萃分析不一致时,应系统地进行个体患者数据的荟萃分析。讨论了影响荟萃分析质量的主要因素。