Kaplow Julie B, Curran Patrick J, Dodge Kenneth A
Department of Psychology, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
J Abnorm Child Psychol. 2002 Jun;30(3):199-216. doi: 10.1023/a:1015183927979.
The purpose of this study was to identify kindergarten-age predictors of early-onset substance use from demographic, environmental, parenting, child psychological, behavioral, and social functioning domains. Data from a longitudinal study of 295 children were gathered using multiple-assessment methods and multiple informants in kindergarten and 1st grade. Annual assessments at ages 10, 11, and 12 reflected that 21% of children reported having initiated substance use by age 12. Results from longitudinal logistic regression models indicated that risk factors at kindergarten include being male, having a parent who abused substances, lower levels of parental verbal reasoning, higher levels of overactivity, more thought problems, and more social problem solving skills deficits. Children with no risk factors had less than a 10% chance of initiating substance use by age 12, whereas children with 2 or more risk factors had greater than a 50% chance of initiating substance use. Implications for typology, etiology, and prevention are discussed.
本研究的目的是从人口统计学、环境、养育方式、儿童心理、行为以及社会功能等领域确定早发性物质使用的幼儿园年龄预测因素。通过多种评估方法和多名信息提供者收集了对295名儿童进行的纵向研究的数据,这些数据来自幼儿园和一年级阶段。在10岁、11岁和12岁时进行的年度评估显示,21%的儿童报告在12岁前开始使用物质。纵向逻辑回归模型的结果表明,幼儿园阶段的风险因素包括男性、有滥用物质的父母、父母言语推理水平较低、多动水平较高、思维问题较多以及社会问题解决技能缺陷较多。没有风险因素的儿童在12岁前开始使用物质的可能性低于10%,而有2个或更多风险因素的儿童开始使用物质的可能性大于50%。文中讨论了对类型学、病因学和预防的启示。