Guzmán María G, Kouri Gustavo, Bravo Jose, Valdes Luis, Vazquez Susana, Halstead Scott B
Department of Virology, PAHO/WHO Collaborating Center for Viral Diseases, Tropical Medicine Institute of Havana, Cuba.
Int J Infect Dis. 2002 Jun;6(2):118-24. doi: 10.1016/s1201-9712(02)90072-x.
Dengue hemorrhagic fever/dengue shock syndrome (DHF/DSS) is a growing global health problem. It is not known how age affects the outcome of secondary dengue infections. In an island setting, a large DHF/DSS outbreak in Cuba occurred in 1981. Involved were individuals, 3-40 year old, whose only lifetime dengue exposure was to DEN-1 in 1977 and DEN-2 in 1981. In this report we calculate age-specific DHF/DSS hospitalization and death rates based on secondary DEN 2 infections.
Published and unpublished hospital and seroepidemiologic data from the 1981 DHF/DSS outbreak were used for the analysis.
Children, aged 3 and 4 years, with secondary DEN-2 infections were found to have a high death rate (25.4/10 000 secondary DEN-2 infections). The death rate fell with increasing age, being 15.9-fold lower in the 10-14-year age group. The death rate for children aged 3-14 years was 14.5-fold higher than in young adults aged 15-39 years. The death rate rose somewhat in adults aged 50 years and older. DHF/DSS hospitalization rates showed the same trend as death rates.
Age is an important variable in the outcome of secondary DEN-2 infections. DHF/DSS case fatality and hospitalization rates are highest in young infants and the elderly. The risk that a child will die during a secondary DEN-2 infection is nearly 15-fold higher than the risk in adults.
登革出血热/登革休克综合征(DHF/DSS)是一个日益严重的全球健康问题。目前尚不清楚年龄如何影响二次登革热感染的结局。在一个岛屿环境中,1981年古巴发生了一次大规模的DHF/DSS疫情。涉及的个体年龄在3至40岁之间,他们一生中唯一的登革热感染经历是1977年感染登革病毒1型(DEN-1)和1981年感染登革病毒2型(DEN-2)。在本报告中,我们根据二次DEN-2感染情况计算了特定年龄的DHF/DSS住院率和死亡率。
分析使用了1981年DHF/DSS疫情已发表和未发表的医院及血清流行病学数据。
发现3岁和4岁的儿童二次感染DEN-2后死亡率较高(每10000例二次DEN-2感染中有25.4例死亡)。死亡率随年龄增长而下降,在10至14岁年龄组中低15.9倍。3至14岁儿童的死亡率比15至39岁的年轻人高14.5倍。50岁及以上成年人的死亡率有所上升。DHF/DSS住院率呈现与死亡率相同的趋势。
年龄是二次DEN-2感染结局的一个重要变量。DHF/DSS病死率和住院率在幼儿和老年人中最高。儿童在二次DEN-2感染期间死亡的风险几乎比成年人高15倍。