Pacca Sergio, Horvath Arpad
Energy and Resources Group, University of California, Berkeley 94720, USA.
Environ Sci Technol. 2002 Jul 15;36(14):3194-200. doi: 10.1021/es0155884.
As demand for electricity increases, investments into new generation capacity from renewable and nonrenewable sources should include assessment of global (climate) change consequences not just of the operational phase of the power plants but construction effects as well. In this paper, the global warming effect (GWE) associated with construction and operation of comparable hydroelectric, wind, solar, coal, and natural gas power plants is estimated for four time periods after construction. The assessment includes greenhouse gas emissions from construction, burning of fuels, flooded biomass decay in the reservoir, loss of net ecosystem production, and land use. The results indicate that a wind farm and a hydroelectric plant in an arid zone (such as the Glen Canyon in the Upper Colorado River Basin) appear to have lower GWE than other power plants. For the Glen Canyon hydroelectric plant, the upgrade 20 yr after the beginning of operation increased power capacity by 39% but resulted in a mere 1% of the CO2 emissions from the initial construction and came with no additional emissions from the reservoir, which accounts for the majority of the GWE.
随着电力需求的增加,对可再生和不可再生能源的新一代发电能力的投资应包括评估全球(气候)变化的后果,这不仅涉及发电厂的运营阶段,还包括建设阶段的影响。本文估算了可比的水力、风力、太阳能、煤炭和天然气发电厂在建设和运营后的四个时间段内的全球变暖效应(GWE)。评估内容包括建设过程中的温室气体排放、燃料燃烧、水库中淹没生物质的腐烂、净生态系统生产的损失以及土地利用。结果表明,干旱地区(如科罗拉多河上游流域的格伦峡谷)的风电场和水力发电厂的全球变暖效应似乎低于其他发电厂。对于格伦峡谷水力发电厂,运营开始20年后的升级使发电能力提高了39%,但仅产生了初始建设阶段二氧化碳排放量的1%,且水库没有额外排放,而水库排放占全球变暖效应的大部分。