Bumpass L L, Martin T C, Sweet J A
J Fam Issues. 1991 Mar;12(1):22-42. doi: 10.1177/019251391012001003.
Data from the National Survey of Families and Households for 1987-1988 are used to explore methodological and substantive issues concerning marital dissolution in the United States. "The analysis finds that marital disruptions are seriously underreported by males, making the analysis of male marital histories problematic. Also, the potential impact of reconciliations on the estimates of recent marital disruption based on separation is explored; no upward bias is likely to result from the inclusion of separations that may subsequently reconcile. The impact of a wide variety of factors on the risk of marital disruption is examined using proportional hazard techniques. Among them are included parental background factors, respondent's characteristics at the time of marriage, differences in spouses' characteristics, and joint activity statuses of marital partners in the first year of marriage. The risk of marital disruption is highest among women with young age at marriage, low education, a cohabitation history, and those whose spouse has been married previously. Parental family disruption affects marital stability primarily through age at marriage and cohabitation. Religious and educational heterogamy and male unemployment reduce marital stability."
利用1987 - 1988年全国家庭与住户调查的数据,探讨美国婚姻解体的方法学和实质性问题。“分析发现,男性严重少报婚姻破裂情况,这使得对男性婚姻史的分析存在问题。此外,还探讨了和解对基于分居情况的近期婚姻破裂估计的潜在影响;纳入可能随后和解的分居情况不太可能导致向上偏差。使用比例风险技术研究了各种因素对婚姻破裂风险的影响。其中包括父母背景因素、受访者结婚时的特征、配偶特征的差异以及婚姻伴侣在结婚第一年的共同活动状况。婚姻破裂风险在早婚、低学历、有同居史以及配偶曾有过婚史的女性中最高。父母家庭破裂主要通过结婚年龄和同居影响婚姻稳定性。宗教和教育方面的异质性以及男性失业会降低婚姻稳定性。”