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一项风险模型分析,考察了1834年至1931年从米尼奥省维亚纳堡港市迁移的推断证据。

A hazard model analysis examining inferential evidence of migration from the Port-city of Viana do Castelo, Minho, 1834-1931.

作者信息

Kitts A

出版信息

Eur J Popul. 1991 Jun;7(2):113-28. doi: 10.1007/BF01797099.

Abstract

"This paper is an attempt to analyse the determinants of out-migration of the elite from the Portuguese city of Viana do Castelo [from 1834-1931]. The data used are derived from a reconstruction of this electorate using record linkage methods. Indirect evidence of emigration is available from passport books, and evidence of death is available with cemetery lists. The paper discusses methodological issues in the estimation of hazard models of duration spent under observation in the elite. The analysis suggests that, while out-migration was not significantly dependent on age, or marital status, there were large occupational differentials, and significant period effects." (SUMMARY IN FRE)

摘要

本文试图分析[1834年至1931年]葡萄牙城市卡斯特洛-维亚纳精英外流的决定因素。所使用的数据来自于通过记录链接方法对该选民群体的重建。护照簿提供了移民的间接证据,墓地清单提供了死亡证据。本文讨论了在估算精英群体观察期持续时间的风险模型时的方法问题。分析表明,虽然外流与年龄或婚姻状况没有显著关联,但存在很大的职业差异,并且有显著的时期效应。 (法语摘要)

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