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中国和印度黑碳气溶胶的气候效应。

Climate effects of black carbon aerosols in China and India.

作者信息

Menon Surabi, Hansen James, Nazarenko Larissa, Luo Yunfeng

机构信息

NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY 10025, USA.

出版信息

Science. 2002 Sep 27;297(5590):2250-3. doi: 10.1126/science.1075159.

Abstract

In recent decades, there has been a tendency toward increased summer floods in south China, increased drought in north China, and moderate cooling in China and India while most of the world has been warming. We used a global climate model to investigate possible aerosol contributions to these trends. We found precipitation and temperature changes in the model that were comparable to those observed if the aerosols included a large proportion of absorbing black carbon ("soot"), similar to observed amounts. Absorbing aerosols heat the air, alter regional atmospheric stability and vertical motions, and affect the large-scale circulation and hydrologic cycle with significant regional climate effects.

摘要

近几十年来,中国南方夏季洪水有增加趋势,中国北方干旱加剧,中国和印度出现适度降温,而世界其他大部分地区一直在变暖。我们使用全球气候模型来研究气溶胶对这些趋势可能产生的影响。我们发现,如果气溶胶中含有很大比例的吸收性黑碳(“煤烟”),与观测到的数量相似,那么模型中的降水和温度变化与观测结果相当。吸收性气溶胶使空气升温,改变区域大气稳定性和垂直运动,并影响大尺度环流和水文循环,从而产生显著的区域气候效应。

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