Starr Adam J, Griffin Damian R, Reinert Charles M, Frawley William H, Walker Joan, Whitlock Shelley N, Borer Drake S, Rao Ashutosh V, Jones Alan L
Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas 75390, USA.
J Orthop Trauma. 2002 Sep;16(8):553-61. doi: 10.1097/00005131-200209000-00003.
To determine if age, fracture pattern, systolic blood pressure on arrival, base deficit, or the Revised Trauma Score is predictive of mortality, transfusion requirements, use of pelvic arteriography, later complications, or injuries associated with the pelvic ring disruption.
Retrospective review of a prospectively collected database.
All closed pelvic ring disruptions seen between November 1, 1997 and November 30, 1999 were included. Predictive variables and outcome variables were recorded for each patient. Statistical analysis was used to determine if the above variables were predictive.
Shock on arrival and the Revised Trauma Score were significantly associated with mortality, transfusion requirement, Injury Severity Score, and all the Abbreviated Injury Scores except the one for skin. In addition, the Revised Trauma Score was significantly associated with the use of pelvic arteriography and predicted more complications than did shock on arrival. Age was significantly associated with transfusion requirement, Injury Severity Score, the chest and skin Abbreviated Injury Scores, use of arteriography, and death. The mortality rate among patients who presented in shock was 57 percent. A Revised Trauma Score of less than 11 predicted mortality with a sensitivity and specificity of 58 percent and 92 percent, respectively. Shock on arrival predicted mortality with a sensitivity and specificity of 27 percent and 96 percent, respectively. Age greater than sixty years predicted mortality with a sensitivity and specificity of 26 percent and 91 percent, respectively. In our analysis of the fracture patterns, we were unable to demonstrate consistent, meaningful links between specific fracture classes and the outcome variables.
Shock on arrival and the Revised Trauma Score are useful predictors of mortality and transfusion requirements, Injury Severity Score, and Abbreviated Injury Scores for the head and neck, face, chest, abdomen, and extremities. In addition, the Revised Trauma Score predicts the use of pelvic arteriography and later complications. Age predicted transfusion requirement, Injury Severity Score, the chest and skin Abbreviated Injury Scores, use of arteriography, and death.
确定年龄、骨折类型、入院时收缩压、碱缺失或修订创伤评分是否可预测死亡率、输血需求、盆腔动脉造影的使用、后期并发症或与骨盆环破坏相关的损伤。
对前瞻性收集的数据库进行回顾性分析。
纳入1997年11月1日至1999年11月30日期间所有闭合性骨盆环破坏病例。记录每位患者的预测变量和结果变量。采用统计分析确定上述变量是否具有预测性。
入院时休克和修订创伤评分与死亡率、输血需求、损伤严重程度评分以及除皮肤外的所有简明损伤评分显著相关。此外,修订创伤评分与盆腔动脉造影的使用显著相关,且比入院时休克更能预测更多并发症。年龄与输血需求、损伤严重程度评分、胸部和皮肤简明损伤评分、动脉造影的使用及死亡显著相关。休克患者的死亡率为57%。修订创伤评分低于11预测死亡率的敏感度和特异度分别为58%和92%。入院时休克预测死亡率的敏感度和特异度分别为27%和96%。年龄大于60岁预测死亡率的敏感度和特异度分别为26%和91%。在我们对骨折类型的分析中,未能证明特定骨折类型与结果变量之间存在一致、有意义的关联。
入院时休克和修订创伤评分是死亡率、输血需求、损伤严重程度评分以及头颈部、面部、胸部、腹部和四肢简明损伤评分的有用预测指标。此外,修订创伤评分可预测盆腔动脉造影的使用和后期并发症。年龄可预测输血需求、损伤严重程度评分、胸部和皮肤简明损伤评分、动脉造影的使用及死亡。