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美国和加拿大犬类钩端螺旋体病报告病例的聚类分析。

Clustering of reported cases of leptospirosis among dogs in the United States and Canada.

作者信息

Ward Michael P

机构信息

Department of Veterinary Pathobiology, School of Veterinary Medicine, Purdue University, 1243 Veterinary Pathology Building, West Lafayette, IN 47907-1243, USA.

出版信息

Prev Vet Med. 2002 Dec 30;56(3):215-26. doi: 10.1016/s0167-5877(02)00160-5.

Abstract

A retrospective study was conducted to determine whether cases of leptospirosis diagnosed among dogs in the United States and Canada were clustered in time, space, or time-and-space. The study population was estimated--based on first examination of each dog--to consist of 1,035,366 dogs examined at 22 veterinary teaching hospitals between 1983 and 1998. The veterinary medicine database was searched for records of dogs in which a diagnosis of leptospirosis was made during the study period. The scan statistic (Poisson model) was used to examine for clustering of cases, using recorded date of diagnosis and the location of the veterinary teaching hospital at which the diagnosis was made. Three-hundred and forty dogs diagnosed with leptospirosis were identified. Cases were clustered in the period of 1992-1998. A cluster of dogs diagnosed at three veterinary teaching hospitals located in the midwest of the United States was identified. The composition of this spatial cluster was influenced by the age and gender distribution of the population at-risk. A cluster of cases involving 143 dogs diagnosed with leptospirosis between 9 April 1993 and 14 December 1998 at six veterinary teaching hospitals located in the midwest of the United States was identified. This time-space cluster was not influenced by the age, gender or breed distribution of the population of dogs presented at veterinary teaching hospitals during the study period. Leptospirosis was clustered during the 1990s in the midwest of the United States. Dog risk factors (age, gender, breed) do not explain the clustering that was observed. Leptospira serovar or environmental factors might be responsible for the clustering of canine leptospirosis in the United States and Canada.

摘要

开展了一项回顾性研究,以确定在美国和加拿大确诊的犬钩端螺旋体病病例是否在时间、空间或时空上呈聚集性。根据每只犬的首次检查情况估计,研究对象包括1983年至1998年间在22所兽医学院接受检查的1,035,366只犬。在兽医学数据库中搜索研究期间确诊为钩端螺旋体病的犬的记录。使用扫描统计量(泊松模型),根据记录的诊断日期和做出诊断的兽医学院的位置,检查病例的聚集情况。共确定了340只被诊断为钩端螺旋体病的犬。病例在1992 - 1998年期间呈聚集性。发现位于美国中西部的三所兽医学院有一群犬被诊断为该病。这个空间聚集群的构成受高危人群年龄和性别分布的影响。发现了一个病例聚集群,涉及1993年4月9日至1998年12月14日期间在美国中西部六所兽医学院被诊断为钩端螺旋体病的143只犬。这个时空聚集群不受研究期间在兽医学院就诊的犬的年龄、性别或品种分布的影响。钩端螺旋体病在20世纪90年代的美国中西部呈聚集性。犬的风险因素(年龄、性别、品种)无法解释所观察到的聚集现象。钩端螺旋体血清型或环境因素可能是美国和加拿大犬钩端螺旋体病聚集的原因。

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