Takeda Hiroshi, Endoh Hiroyoshi
Department of Medical Information Science, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, 2-2, Yamada-oka, Suita 565-0871, Japan.
Int J Med Inform. 2002 Nov 20;66(1-3):107-11. doi: 10.1016/s1386-5056(02)00043-6.
The paper, entitled 'Health care in the information society-a prognosis for the year 2013' is in this commentary compared with previous relevant documents. In the paper quantitative prognoses are presented for each of 30 theses. Some developments such as the influence of genomic medicine on health care were not covered by the theses. ICT measures as suggested in the paper are quite acceptable but the paper does not mention side effects of ICT on health care and is therefore a bit unbalanced. As a reference, the Japanese grand design for information-oriented health care is also introduced.
