Spiegel Paul, Sheik Mani, Gotway-Crawford Carol, Salama Peter
International Emergency and Refugee Health Branch, Division of Emergency and Environmental Health Services, National Center for Environmental Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Lancet. 2002 Dec 14;360(9349):1927-34. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(02)11915-5.
An estimated 35 million people have been displaced by complex humanitarian emergencies. International humanitarian organisations define policies and provide basic health and nutrition programmes to displaced people in postemergency phase camps. However, many policies and programmes are not based on supporting data. We aimed to identify associations between age-specific mortality and health indicators in displaced people in postemergency phase camps and to define the programme and policy implications of these data.
In 1998-2000, we obtained and analysed retrospective mortality data for the previous 3 months in 51 postemergency phase camps in seven countries. We did multivariate regression with 18 independent variables that affect crude mortality rates (CMRs) and mortality rates in children younger than 5 years (<5 MRs) in complex emergencies. We compared these results with recommended emergency phase minimum indicators.
Recently established camps had higher CMRs and <5 MRs and fewer local health workers per person than did camps that had been established earlier. Camps that were close to the border or region of conflict or had longer travel times to referral hospitals had higher CMRs than did those located further away or with shorter travel times, and camps with less water per person and high rates of diarrhoea had higher <5 MRs than did those with more water and lower rates of diarrhoea. Distance to border or area of conflict, water quantity, and the number of local health workers per person exceeded the minimum indicators recommended in the emergency phase.
Health and nutrition policies and programmes for displaced people in postemergency phase camps should be evidence-based. Programmes in complex emergencies should focus on indicators proven to be associated with mortality. Minimum indicators should be developed for programmes targeting displaced people in postemergency phase camps.
据估计,有3500万人因复杂的人道主义紧急情况而流离失所。国际人道主义组织制定政策,并为紧急情况后阶段营地中的流离失所者提供基本的卫生和营养方案。然而,许多政策和方案并非基于支持性数据。我们旨在确定紧急情况后阶段营地中流离失所者的特定年龄死亡率与健康指标之间的关联,并确定这些数据对方案和政策的影响。
在1998 - 2000年期间,我们获取并分析了七个国家51个紧急情况后阶段营地前三个月的回顾性死亡率数据。我们对影响复杂紧急情况中粗死亡率(CMRs)和5岁以下儿童死亡率(<5 MRs)的18个独立变量进行了多变量回归分析。我们将这些结果与推荐的紧急阶段最低指标进行了比较。
最近设立的营地的CMRs和<5 MRs较高,且每人配备的当地卫生工作者比设立较早的营地少。靠近边境或冲突地区或转诊医院路途时间较长的营地的CMRs高于位置更远或路途时间较短的营地,而每人用水量较少且腹泻率高的营地的<5 MRs高于用水量较多且腹泻率较低的营地。到边境或冲突地区的距离、水量以及每人配备的当地卫生工作者数量超过了紧急阶段推荐的最低指标。
紧急情况后阶段营地中流离失所者的卫生和营养政策及方案应以证据为基础。复杂紧急情况中的方案应侧重于已证明与死亡率相关的指标。应为针对紧急情况后阶段营地中流离失所者的方案制定最低指标。