Graves Nicholas, Nicholls Tanya M, Wong Christopher G S, Morris Arthur J
Centre for Health Care Related Infection Surveillance and Prevention, Princess Alexandra Hospital, and the School of Public Health, Queensland University of Technology, Kelvin Grove, Queensland, Australia.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2003 Jan;24(1):56-61. doi: 10.1086/502116.
To report the pooled results of seven prevalence surveys of hospital-acquired infections conducted between November 1996 and November 1999, and to use the data to predict the cumulative incidence of hospital-acquired infections in the same patient group.
The summary and modeling of data gathered from the routine surveillance of the point prevalence of hospital-acquired infections.
Auckland District Health Board Hospitals (Auckland DHBH), the largest publicly funded hospital group in New Zealand supplying secondary and tertiary services.
All inpatients.
Point-prevalence surveys were conducted including all patients in Auckland DHBH. Standard definitions of hospital-acquired infection were used. The data from the seven surveys were pooled and used in a modeling exercise to predict the cumulative incidence of hospital-acquired infection. An existing method for the conversion of prevalence to cumulative incidence was applied. Results are presented for all patients and stratified by clinical service and site of hospital-acquired infection.
The underlying patterns of hospital-acquired infection by site and service were stable during the seven time periods. The prevalence rate for all patients was 9.5%, with 553 patients identified with one or more hospital-acquired infections from a population of 5,819. The predicted cumulative incidence for all patients was 6.33% (95% confidence interval, 6.20% to 6.46%).
The prevalence and the predicted cumulative incidence are similar to rates reported in the international literature. The validity of the predicted cumulative incidence derived here is not known. If it were accurate, then the application of this method would represent a cost-effective alternative to incidence studies.
报告1996年11月至1999年11月期间进行的七次医院获得性感染患病率调查的汇总结果,并利用这些数据预测同一患者群体中医院获得性感染的累积发生率。
对医院获得性感染现患率常规监测收集的数据进行汇总和建模。
奥克兰地区卫生局医院(奥克兰DHBH),新西兰最大的提供二级和三级服务的公立资助医院集团。
所有住院患者。
对奥克兰DHBH的所有患者进行现患率调查。采用医院获得性感染的标准定义。将七次调查的数据汇总并用于建模,以预测医院获得性感染的累积发生率。应用一种将患病率转换为累积发生率的现有方法。按临床服务和医院获得性感染部位对所有患者的结果进行分层呈现。
在七个时间段内,按部位和服务划分的医院获得性感染的基本模式保持稳定。所有患者的患病率为9.5%,在5819名患者中,有553名患者被确诊患有一种或多种医院获得性感染。所有患者的预测累积发生率为6.33%(95%置信区间,6.20%至6.46%)。
患病率和预测的累积发生率与国际文献报道的率相似。此处得出的预测累积发生率的有效性尚不清楚。如果准确,那么该方法的应用将是发病率研究的一种具有成本效益的替代方法。