Watkins R E, Plant A J
Division of Health Sciences, Curtin University of Technology, GPO Box U1987 Perth, Western Australia 6845.
Epidemiol Infect. 2002 Dec;129(3):623-8. doi: 10.1017/s0950268802007604.
In industrialized countries migrants remain a high-risk group for tuberculosis (TB). Multiple linear regression analysis was used to determine the ability of indicators of TB incidence in the country of birth to predict the incidence of TB among migrants in Australia during 1997. World Health Organization total case notifications, new smear-positive case notifications and the estimated incidence of TB by country of birth explained 55, 69 and 87% of the variance in TB incidence in Australia, respectively. Gross national income of the country of birth and unemployment level in Australia were also significant predictors of TB in migrant groups. Indicators of the incidence of TB in the country of birth are the most important group-level predictors of the rate of TB among migrants in Australia.
在工业化国家，移民仍然是结核病的高风险群体。采用多元线性回归分析来确定出生国的结核病发病率指标预测1997年澳大利亚移民中结核病发病率的能力。世界卫生组织的总病例通报、新的涂片阳性病例通报以及按出生国划分的结核病估计发病率分别解释了澳大利亚结核病发病率差异的55%、69%和87%。出生国的国民总收入和澳大利亚的失业率也是移民群体中结核病的重要预测因素。出生国的结核病发病率指标是澳大利亚移民中结核病发病率最重要的群体层面预测因素。
