Challis Kenneth, Osman Nafissa Bique, Nordahl Gunnar, Bergström Staffan
Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Sundsvall Hospital, Sweden.
Trop Med Int Health. 2003 Feb;8(2):168-73. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-3156.2003.00998.x.
With a new symphysis-fundus height (SFH) growth chart, based on Mozambican women with ultrasound-dated singleton pregnancies, the aim was to examine the possibility to enhance sensitivity of predicting small for gestational age (SGA) newborns by attempts to adjust the chart for parity and for mid-upper-arm circumference (MUAC).
Two antenatal clinics were chosen in the suburban area of Maputo City. A cohort of 904 consecutively recruited antenatal clients was followed until birth. Gestational age was determined by ultrasound at enrolment. The growth of the SFH was measured every 2-3 weeks. Women with multiple pregnancy or with gestational age >21 weeks at enrolment were excluded. Attempts were made to adjust SFH measurements for parity and MUAC by developing a mathematical model to increase sensitivity of the SFH method to predict a foetus being SGA.
Parous women had on average 0.5-1 cm higher SFH readings than nulliparous women. Women with a body mass index (BMI) <19 and women with BMI >27 had approximately 1 cm lower and 1 cm higher readings, respectively, compared with women of normal BMI. There was a significant correlation between BMI and MUAC (r = 0.621; P < 0.001). The usefulness of SFH measurements to predict SGA newborns was analysed. The sensitivity was 49%, the specificity was 66%, the positive predictive value was 14% and the negative predictive value, 93%. By using the correlation between BMI and MUAC we tried to find a simple and useful method to improve the sensitivity of SFH to detect SGA foetuses. By reducing the SFH measurement by 1 cm for women with MUAC >29 and by 1 cm for multiparous women the sensitivity raised to 65% at the expense of reducing the specificity to 51%. Using a linear function of BMI, MUAC and parity to adjust the SFH measurement for each individual woman, it was possible to get a sensitivity of 70% with a corresponding specificity of 56%.
By using BMI, MUAC and parity, it might be possible to improve the sensitivity of the SFH growth chart in predicting newborn being SGA but mostly at the expense of specificity.
基于莫桑比克超声确定孕周的单胎妊娠女性,制定了一张新的耻骨联合上缘高度(SFH)生长图表,目的是尝试通过调整图表以考虑产次和上臂中段周长(MUAC),来检验提高预测小于胎龄(SGA)新生儿的敏感性的可能性。
在马普托市郊区选择了两家产前诊所。对连续招募的904名产前检查对象进行随访直至分娩。入组时通过超声确定孕周。每2 - 3周测量一次SFH的增长情况。排除多胎妊娠或入组时孕周>21周的女性。通过建立数学模型来调整SFH测量值以考虑产次和MUAC,从而提高SFH方法预测胎儿为SGA的敏感性。
经产妇的SFH读数平均比初产妇高0.5 - 1厘米。与BMI正常的女性相比,体重指数(BMI)<19的女性和BMI>27的女性的读数分别约低1厘米和高1厘米。BMI与MUAC之间存在显著相关性(r = 0.621;P < 0.001)。分析了SFH测量值预测SGA新生儿的有效性。敏感性为49%,特异性为66%,阳性预测值为14%,阴性预测值为93%。通过利用BMI与MUAC之间的相关性,我们试图找到一种简单且有用的方法来提高SFH检测SGA胎儿的敏感性。对于MUAC>29的女性,将SFH测量值降低1厘米,对于经产妇将SFH测量值降低1厘米,敏感性提高到65%,但特异性降低到51%。使用BMI、MUAC和产次的线性函数为每位女性调整SFH测量值,可以使敏感性达到70%,相应的特异性为56%。
通过使用BMI、MUAC和产次,有可能提高SFH生长图表预测SGA新生儿的敏感性,但大多是以牺牲特异性为代价。