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信念偏差与关系推理。

Belief bias and relational reasoning.

作者信息

Roberts Maxwell J, Sykes Elizabeth D A

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Essex, Colchester, UK.

出版信息

Q J Exp Psychol A. 2003 Jan;56(1):131-53. doi: 10.1080/02724980244000233.

Abstract

When people evaluate categorical syllogisms, they tend to reject unbelievable conclusions and accept believable ones irrespective of their validity. Typically, this effect is particularly marked for invalid conclusions that are possible, but do not necessarily follow, given the premises. However, smaller believability effects can also be detected for other types of conclusion. Three experiments are reported here, in which an attempt was made to determine whether belief bias effects can manifest themselves on the relational inference task. Subjects evaluated the validity of conclusions such as William the Conqueror was king after the Pyramids were built (temporal task) or Manchester is north of Bournemouth (spatial task) with respect to their premises. All of the major findings for equivalent categorical syllogism tasks were replicated. However, the overall size of the main effect of believability appears to be related to task presentation, a phenomenon not previously identified for categorical syllogisms and which current theories of belief bias have difficulty explaining.

摘要

当人们评估直言三段论时,他们倾向于拒绝不可信的结论,而接受可信的结论,无论其是否有效。通常,这种效应对于无效结论尤为明显,这些结论虽有可能,但根据前提并不必然得出。然而,对于其他类型的结论,也能检测到较小的可信度效应。本文报告了三个实验,旨在确定信念偏差效应是否会在关系推理任务中表现出来。受试者根据前提评估诸如“金字塔建成后征服者威廉成为了国王”(时间任务)或“曼彻斯特在伯恩茅斯以北”(空间任务)等结论的有效性。所有与等效直言三段论任务相关的主要发现都得到了重复验证。然而,可信度主效应的总体大小似乎与任务呈现方式有关,这是一个先前在直言三段论中未被发现的现象,并且当前的信念偏差理论难以解释这一现象。

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