de Arazoza H, Lounes R
Université René Descartes, Laboratoire de Statistique Médicale, equipe MAP5, FRE CNRS 2428, 45 rue des Saints-Pères, 75270 Paris 06, France.
IMA J Math Appl Med Biol. 2002 Sep;19(3):221-34.
A non-linear model is developed for an epidemic with contact tracing, and its dynamic is studied. We present the data for the Cuban HIV/AIDS epidemic and fit the non-linear model, we obtain estimates for the size of the Cuban HIV epidemic, and for the mean time for detecting a person that is infected with HIV.
