接触者追踪——旧模式与新挑战。
Contact tracing - Old models and new challenges.
作者信息
Müller Johannes, Kretzschmar Mirjam
机构信息
Mathematical Institute, Technical University of Munich, Boltzmannstr. 3, 85748, Garching, Germany.
Institute for Computational Biology, Helmholtz Center Munich, 85764, Neuherberg, Germany.
出版信息
Infect Dis Model. 2020 Dec 30;6:222-231. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2020.12.005. eCollection 2021.
Abstract
Contact tracing is an effective method to control emerging infectious diseases. Since the 1980's, modellers are developing a consistent theory for contact tracing, with the aim to find effective and efficient implementations, and to assess the effects of contact tracing on the spread of an infectious disease. Despite the progress made in the area, there remain important open questions. In addition, technological developments, especially in the field of molecular biology (genetic sequencing of pathogens) and modern communication (digital contact tracing), have posed new challenges for the modelling community. In the present paper, we discuss modelling approaches for contact tracing and identify some of the current challenges for the field.
摘要
接触者追踪是控制新发传染病的一种有效方法。自20世纪80年代以来，建模者一直在为接触者追踪建立一套连贯的理论，目的是找到有效且高效的实施方案，并评估接触者追踪对传染病传播的影响。尽管该领域已取得进展，但仍存在一些重要的悬而未决的问题。此外，技术发展，尤其是分子生物学领域（病原体的基因测序）和现代通信领域（数字接触者追踪）的发展，给建模界带来了新的挑战。在本文中，我们讨论了接触者追踪的建模方法，并指出了该领域当前面临的一些挑战。
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