Knight Eric L, Ofsthun Norma, Teng Ming, Lazarus J Michael, Curhan Gary C
Renal Unit, General Medicine Unit, Harvard Medical School, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts 02115, USA.
Kidney Int. 2003 May;63(5):1843-51. doi: 10.1046/j.1523-1755.2003.00931.x.
Mortality rates for individuals on chronic hemodialysis remain very high; therefore, strategies are needed to identify individuals at greatest risk for mortality so preventive strategies can be implemented. One such approach is to stratify individuals by self-reported mental health and physical function. Examining these parameters at baseline, and over time, may help identify individuals at greater risk for mortality.
We enrolled 14,815 individuals with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and followed these individuals for up to 2 years. The mean age was 61.0 +/- 15.4 years (range, 20 to 96 years) and 31% were African Americans. The SF-36 Health Survey was administered 1 to 3 months after hemodialysis initiation and 6 months later. We examined the associations between the initial SF-36 Health Survey mental component summary (MCS) and physical component summary (PCS) scores and mortality during the follow-up period, and examined the associations between 6-month decline in PCS and MCS scores and subsequent mortality. We also examined the interactions between age and MCS and PCS scores. The general population-based mean of each of these scores was 50 with a standard deviation of 10. The main outcome measurement was death.
Self-reported baseline mental health (MCS score) and physical function (PCS score) were both independently associated with increased mortality, and 6-month decline in these parameters was also associated with increased mortality. The multivariate hazard ratios for 1-year mortality for MCS scores of less than 30, 30 to 39, and 40 to 49 were 1.48 (95% CI, 1.32 to 1.64), 1.23 (95% CI, 1.14 to 1.32) and 1.18 (95% CI, 1.10 to 1.26) compared with a MCS score of 50 or more. The hazard ratios for PCS scores of less than 20, 20 to 29, and 30 to 39 were 1.97 (95% CI, 1.64 to 2.36), 1.62 (95% CI, 1.36 to 1.92), and 1.32 (95% CI, 1.11 to 1.57) compared with a PCS score of 50 or more. Six-month decline in self-reported mental health (hazard ratio, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.12, per 10-point decline in MCS score) and physical function (hazard ratio, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.18 to 1.33, per 10-point decline in PCS score) were also both significantly associated with an additional increase in mortality beyond baseline risk. We also found a significant interaction between age and physical function (P = 0.02). Specifically, there was a graded response between the PCS score category and mortality in most age strata, but this relationship was not observed in the oldest age (85 years old or older).
In individuals newly initiated on chronic hemodialysis, self-reported baseline mental health and physical function are important, independent predictors of mortality, and there is a graded relationship between these parameters and mortality risk. Following these parameters over time provides additional information on mortality risk. One must also consider age when interpreting the relationship between physical function and mortality.
接受慢性血液透析的个体死亡率仍然很高;因此,需要采取策略来识别死亡风险最高的个体,以便实施预防策略。一种方法是根据自我报告的心理健康和身体功能对个体进行分层。在基线时以及随时间检查这些参数,可能有助于识别死亡风险更高的个体。
我们招募了14815例终末期肾病(ESRD)患者,并对这些患者进行了长达2年的随访。平均年龄为61.0±15.4岁(范围为20至96岁),31%为非裔美国人。在血液透析开始后1至3个月以及6个月后进行了SF-36健康调查。我们研究了初始SF-36健康调查问卷的心理成分总结(MCS)和身体成分总结(PCS)得分与随访期间死亡率之间的关联,并研究了PCS和MCS得分在6个月内的下降与随后死亡率之间的关联。我们还研究了年龄与MCS和PCS得分之间的相互作用。这些得分在基于一般人群的情况下,平均值为50,标准差为10。主要结局指标是死亡。
自我报告的基线心理健康(MCS得分)和身体功能(PCS得分)均与死亡率增加独立相关,并且这些参数在6个月内的下降也与死亡率增加相关。MCS得分低于30、30至39以及40至49的患者1年死亡率的多变量风险比分别为1.48(95%CI,1.32至1.64)、1.23(95%CI,1.14至1.32)和1.18(95%CI,1.10至1.26),而MCS得分为50或更高的患者为参照。PCS得分低于20、20至29以及30至39的患者风险比分别为1.97(95%CI,1.64至2.36)、1.62(95%CI,1.36至1.92)和1.32(95%CI,1.11至1.57),而PCS得分为50或更高的患者为参照。自我报告的心理健康(风险比,1.07;95%CI,1.02至1.12,MCS得分每下降10分)和身体功能(风险比,1.25;95%CI,1.18至1.33,PCS得分每下降10分)在6个月内的下降也均与基线风险之外的死亡率额外增加显著相关。我们还发现年龄与身体功能之间存在显著的相互作用(P = 0.02)。具体而言,在大多数年龄组中,PCS得分类别与死亡率之间存在分级反应,但在最年长的年龄组(85岁及以上)中未观察到这种关系。
在新开始接受慢性血液透析的个体中,自我报告的基线心理健康和身体功能是死亡率的重要独立预测因素,并且这些参数与死亡风险之间存在分级关系。随着时间推移跟踪这些参数可提供有关死亡风险的更多信息。在解释身体功能与死亡率之间的关系时还必须考虑年龄。