de Castro Mônica S Monteiro, Assunção Renato M, Durante Marcelo Ottoni
Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública, FIOCRUZ, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.
Rev Saude Publica. 2003 Apr;37(2):168-76. doi: 10.1590/s0034-89102003000200002. Epub 2003 Apr 4.
There is much criticism on the quality of criminal data available in Brazil, but there lacks systematic studies to corroborate it. Thus, it was conducted a comparison between homicides registered in Minas Gerais by two public information systems.
The number of homicide deaths of the Mortality Information System of the Ministry of Health (SIM/MS) and Minas Gerais Military Police (PMMG), from 1979 to 1998, were assessed. The comparison between the two systems was performed using the ratio between absolute numbers, considering the municipalities categorized in five groups according to the population size in 1998, and homicide rates. Two linear regression models were adjusted for rates in time, one for each system.
In cities with less than 100,000 inhabitants PMMG homicide data is more complete than SIM/MS one. In cities with more than 100,000 inhabitants, SIM/MS registry is capable of providing homicide deaths data more efficiently, although it can include homicide deaths perpetrated in other municipalities and violent deaths of unknown nature that have not been due to homicide. The under-registration of PMMG in these municipalities can be due to late deaths in hospitals that are not followed up by PMMG.
PMMG and SIM/MS systems represent the lower and upper limits of actual homicide deaths in larger cities. Both data sources should be analyzed and compared when both are available; when only one of them is available, the analysis should take into account the differences indicated in this study.
巴西现有刑事数据的质量备受诟病,但缺乏系统性研究予以佐证。因此,对米纳斯吉拉斯州两个公共信息系统登记的杀人案件进行了比较。
评估了1979年至1998年期间卫生部死亡率信息系统(SIM/MS)和米纳斯吉拉斯州军事警察(PMMG)的杀人死亡人数。根据1998年的人口规模将各市分为五组,使用绝对数之比和杀人率对两个系统进行比较。针对各系统的时间发生率调整了两个线性回归模型。
在居民人数不足10万的城市,PMMG的杀人案件数据比SIM/MS的更完整。在居民人数超过10万的城市,SIM/MS登记能够更有效地提供杀人死亡数据,不过它可能包括在其他市发生的杀人死亡以及性质不明的暴力死亡(并非由杀人所致)。PMMG在这些城市登记不全可能是因为医院的延迟死亡未得到PMMG的跟进。
PMMG和SIM/MS系统分别代表大城市实际杀人死亡数的下限和上限。当两者数据均可用时,应同时对这两个数据源进行分析和比较;当只有其中一个可用时,分析应考虑本研究指出的差异。