Frankel Martin R, Srinath K P, Hoaglin David C, Battaglia Michael P, Smith Philip J, Wright Robert A, Khare Meena
Abt Associates Inc., 14 Patricia Lane, Cos Cob, CT 06807, USA.
Stat Med. 2003 May 15;22(9):1611-26. doi: 10.1002/sim.1515.
Telephone surveys are widely used in the U.S.A. for the study of health-related topics. They are subject to 'coverage bias' because they cannot sample households that do not have telephones. Although only around 5 per cent of households do not have a telephone, rates of telephone coverage show substantial variation by geography, demographic factors and socio-economic factors. In particular, lack of telephone service is more common among households that contain ethnic and racial minorities or that have lower socio-economic status with fewer opportunities for access to medical care and poorer health outcomes. Thus, failure to adequately account for households without telephones in health surveys may yield estimates of health outcomes that are misleading, particularly in states with at least moderate telephone non-coverage. The dynamic nature of the population of households without telephones offers a way of accounting for such households in telephone surveys. At any given time the population of telephone households includes households that have had a break or interruption in telephone service. Empirical results strongly suggest that these households are very similar to households that have never had telephone service. Thus, sampled households that report having had an interruption in telephone service may be used also to represent the portion of the population that has never had telephone service. This strategy can lead to a reduction in non-coverage bias in random-digit-dialling surveys. This paper presents two methods of adjusting for non-coverage of non-telephone households. The effectiveness of these methods is examined using data from the National Health Interview Survey. The interruption-in-telephone-service methods reduce non-coverage bias and can also result in a lower mean squared error. The application of the interruption-in-telephone-service methods to the National Immunization Survey is also discussed. This survey produces estimates for the 50 states and 28 urban areas. The interruption-in-telephone-service estimates tend be slightly lower than estimates resulting from poststratification and from another non-coverage adjustment method. The results suggest that the reduction in bias is greatest for variables that are highly correlated with the presence or absence of telephone service.
电话调查在美国被广泛用于研究与健康相关的话题。它们存在“覆盖偏差”,因为它们无法对没有电话的家庭进行抽样。尽管只有约5%的家庭没有电话,但电话覆盖率在地理、人口因素和社会经济因素方面存在很大差异。特别是,在包含少数族裔或社会经济地位较低、获得医疗保健机会较少且健康状况较差的家庭中,缺乏电话服务的情况更为普遍。因此,在健康调查中未能充分考虑没有电话的家庭可能会得出误导性的健康结果估计,尤其是在电话未覆盖程度至少为中等的州。没有电话的家庭人口的动态性质为在电话调查中考虑此类家庭提供了一种方法。在任何给定时间,有电话的家庭人口包括那些电话服务中断的家庭。实证结果有力地表明,这些家庭与从未有过电话服务的家庭非常相似。因此,报告电话服务中断的抽样家庭也可用于代表从未有过电话服务的那部分人口。这种策略可以减少随机数字拨号调查中的未覆盖偏差。本文提出了两种针对无电话家庭未覆盖情况进行调整的方法。使用来自国家健康访谈调查的数据检验了这些方法的有效性。电话服务中断方法减少了未覆盖偏差,还可能导致较低的均方误差。还讨论了电话服务中断方法在国家免疫调查中的应用。该调查得出了50个州和28个城市地区的估计数据。电话服务中断估计往往略低于后分层和另一种未覆盖调整方法得出的估计。结果表明,对于与电话服务的有无高度相关的变量,偏差减少最大。