Suppr超能文献

[巴西人口的老龄化进程:一种人口统计学方法]

[The aging process in the Brazilian population: a demographic approach].

作者信息

de Carvalho José Alberto Magno, Garcia Ricardo Alexandrino

机构信息

Centro de Desenvolvimento e Planejamento Regional, Faculdade de Ciências Econômicas, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG, 30170-120, Brasil.

出版信息

Cad Saude Publica. 2003 May-Jun;19(3):725-33. doi: 10.1590/s0102-311x2003000300005. Epub 2003 Jun 11.

Abstract

Contrary to common sense, the population aging process is due to the decline in fertility rather than mortality. The aging process began around the end of the 19th century in a number of Western European countries, expanded to the rest of the so-called First World over the past century, and reached several Third World countries afterwards, including Brazil over the last decades. In the Brazilian case, a sharp and widespread fertility decline began by the end of the 1960s, and an accelerated population aging process can thus be expected. This process will necessarily be faster and with deeper structural changes, demographically speaking, than in First World countries, for two reasons: the fertility decline in Brazil was faster, and it took place in a population with a younger age structure.

摘要

与常识相反,人口老龄化进程是由于生育率下降而非死亡率下降所致。老龄化进程于19世纪末在一些西欧国家开始,在过去一个世纪扩展到其他所谓的第一世界国家,之后又波及到几个第三世界国家,包括巴西在过去几十年间也受影响。就巴西而言,20世纪60年代末开始出现急剧且广泛的生育率下降,因此可以预期人口老龄化进程将加速。从人口统计学角度讲,这一进程必然比第一世界国家更快,且结构变化更深,原因有二:巴西的生育率下降更快,且这一情况发生在年龄结构更年轻的人口中。

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验