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囊性纤维化年轻患者的生存率提高。

Improved survival among young patients with cystic fibrosis.

作者信息

Kulich Michal, Rosenfeld Margaret, Goss Christopher H, Wilmott Robert

机构信息

Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle 98195-7232, USA.

出版信息

J Pediatr. 2003 Jun;142(6):631-6. doi: 10.1067/mpd.2003.197.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To investigate age-specific trends in survival among US patients with cystic fibrosis between 1985 and 1999 and to assess whether survival in female patients with cystic fibrosis has improved relative to survival in male patients.

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study of 31,012 subjects in the US Cystic Fibrosis Foundation National Patient Registry. Trends in survival outcome were evaluated by the Cox model.

RESULTS

Between 1985 and 1999, mortality fell 61% (95% CI, 36-76) for patients age 2 to 5 years, 70% (60-88) for patients age 6 to 10 years, and 45% (32-66) for patients age 11 to 15 years. Improvements in mortality rates among patients older than 15 years were smaller. Female patients had poorer survival rates than male patients in the age range 2 to 20 years, and this gender gap did not narrow throughout time.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival rates of US patients with cystic fibrosis have improved remarkably since 1985. However, most of the improvement was limited to patients 2 to 15 years old. Although both genders benefitted from this trend, female patients have had consistently poorer survival rates than male patients in the age range 2 to 20 years. Further studies are needed to clarify why adult patients with cystic fibrosis had little improvement in survival rates.

摘要

目的

调查1985年至1999年间美国囊性纤维化患者的年龄特异性生存趋势,并评估囊性纤维化女性患者的生存率相对于男性患者是否有所提高。

研究设计

对美国囊性纤维化基金会国家患者登记处的31012名受试者进行回顾性队列研究。通过Cox模型评估生存结果趋势。

结果

1985年至1999年间,2至5岁患者的死亡率下降了61%(95%置信区间,36 - 76),6至10岁患者的死亡率下降了70%(60 - 88),11至15岁患者的死亡率下降了45%(32 - 66)。15岁以上患者的死亡率改善较小。在2至20岁年龄段,女性患者的生存率低于男性患者,且这种性别差距在整个时间段内并未缩小。

结论

自1985年以来,美国囊性纤维化患者的生存率有显著提高。然而,大部分改善仅限于2至15岁的患者。虽然两性都受益于这一趋势,但在2至20岁年龄段,女性患者的生存率一直低于男性患者。需要进一步研究以阐明为什么成年囊性纤维化患者的生存率改善甚微。

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