Brønnum-Hansen Henrik, Davidsen Michael, Kjøller Mette
Statens Institut for Folkesundhed, Svanemøllevej 25, DK-2100 København.
Ugeskr Laeger. 2003 Jun 2;165(23):2395-8.
Life expectancy can be expressed as average expected lifetime in different health states. The purpose of the study was to estimate disability-free life expectancy, i.e. average lifetime without disabilities, in Denmark and in the counties of Denmark and evaluate the relation between life expectancy and the proportion of disability-free life expectancy.
Prevalence rates of disability (in terms of walking, walking on stairs, carrying 5 kg, reading, hearing and speaking) derived from the Danish Health Interview Survey 2000 were combined with life-table data and disability-free life expectancy was calculated by Sullivan's method.
In 2000 expected lifetime of 60-year-old men and women was 18.8 years and 22.0 years respectively and disability-free life expectancy was 14.7 years for both sexes corresponding to 78.4% and 66.6% of the remaining lifetime for men and women respectively. Differences in disability-free life expectancy between counties ranged from zero to three years. In counties with the highest life expectancy among women they tended to have a higher proportion of life years with disabilities, but there was no correlation between life expectancy and the proportion of disability-free life expectancy for men.
The results may illustrate theories about the relation between increased lifetime and quality of life in terms of health. Increased total lifetime for women prolongs the proportion of expected lifetime with disability ("expansion of morbidity"), whereas for men no correlation was found ("dynamic equilibrium").
预期寿命可以表示为在不同健康状态下的平均预期寿命。本研究的目的是估计丹麦及丹麦各郡无残疾预期寿命,即无残疾的平均寿命,并评估预期寿命与无残疾预期寿命比例之间的关系。
将2000年丹麦健康访谈调查得出的残疾患病率(涉及行走、上楼梯、搬运5公斤重物、阅读、听力和言语方面)与生命表数据相结合,采用沙利文方法计算无残疾预期寿命。
2000年,60岁男性和女性的预期寿命分别为18.8岁和22.0岁,两性的无残疾预期寿命均为14.7岁,分别占男性和女性剩余寿命的78.4%和66.6%。各郡之间无残疾预期寿命的差异在零至三年之间。在女性预期寿命最高的郡,她们残疾生活年数的比例往往较高,但男性的预期寿命与无残疾预期寿命比例之间没有相关性。
研究结果可能说明了关于寿命延长与健康方面生活质量之间关系的理论。女性总寿命的增加延长了有残疾预期寿命的比例(“发病期扩展”),而男性则未发现相关性(“动态平衡”)。