Janson Harald, Stattin Håkan
Institute of Psychology, University of Oslo, Norway.
J Pers Assess. 2003 Aug;81(1):51-63. doi: 10.1207/S15327752JPA8101_05.
Relatively few studies have predicted adolescent or adult delinquency from childhood Rorschach data. Incremental validity of Rorschach measures over other known consistent and more easily obtained predictors has typically not been investigated. We addressed Rorschach data's incremental validity over mother's reports of externalizing behavior and mother-child relations for predicting officially registered adolescent and adult delinquency in a longitudinal study of 122 Swedish men. The Rorschach measures we used were aggregates of blind, prospectively performed, global expert ratings based on a holistic evaluation of protocols. An aggregate of Rorschach-based ratings of ego strength significantly improved the prediction of delinquency in adolescence and adulthood over and above earlier identified best predictors (mother's ratings of mother-child relations and externalizing problem behavior).
相对较少的研究从童年时期的罗夏测验数据来预测青少年或成人犯罪。罗夏测验指标相对于其他已知的、一致且更易获得的预测指标的增量效度通常未被研究。在一项对122名瑞典男性的纵向研究中，我们探讨了罗夏测验数据相对于母亲报告的外化行为和母子关系在预测官方登记的青少年和成人犯罪方面的增量效度。我们使用的罗夏测验指标是基于对测验记录进行整体评估的、由盲态的、前瞻性实施的、全局专家评分汇总而成。基于罗夏测验的自我力量评分汇总显著提高了对青少年期和成年期犯罪的预测，超过了先前确定的最佳预测指标（母亲对母子关系和外化问题行为的评分）。
