Kardys Isabella, Kors Jan A, van der Meer Irene M, Hofman Albert, van der Kuip Deirdre A M, Witteman Jacqueline C M
Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Eur Heart J. 2003 Jul;24(14):1357-64. doi: 10.1016/s0195-668x(03)00203-3.
The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic importance of the spatial QRS-T angle for fatal and non-fatal cardiac events.
Electrocardiograms (ECGs) were recorded in 6134 men and women aged 55 years and over from the prospective population-based Rotterdam Study. Spatial QRS-T angles were categorized as normal, borderline or abnormal. Using Cox's proportional hazards model, abnormal angles showed increased hazard ratios of cardiac death (age-and sex-adjusted hazard ratio 5.2 (95% CI 4.0-6.8)), non-fatal cardiac events (2.2 (1.5-3.1)), sudden death (5.6 (3.7-8.5)) and total mortality (2.3 (2.0-2.7)). None of the classical cardiovascular and ECG predictors provided larger hazard ratios. After adjustment for these predictors, the association of abnormal spatial QRS-T angles with all fatal study endpoints remained strong, but the association with non-fatal cardiac events disappeared. Computation of Akaike's information criterion showed that the angle contributed significantly to the prediction of all fatal endpoints by classical cardiovascular and ECG predictors.
The spatial QRS-T angle is a strong and independent predictor of cardiac mortality in the elderly. It is stronger than any of the classical cardiovascular risk factors and ECG risk indicators and provides additional value to them in predicting fatal cardiac events.
本研究旨在评估空间QRS-T角对致命和非致命性心脏事件的预后重要性。
前瞻性基于人群的鹿特丹研究纳入了6134名年龄在55岁及以上的男性和女性,记录其心电图(ECG)。空间QRS-T角分为正常、临界或异常。使用Cox比例风险模型,异常角度显示心脏死亡(年龄和性别调整后的风险比为5.2(95%CI 4.0-6.8))、非致命性心脏事件(2.2(1.5-3.1))、猝死(5.6(3.7-8.5))和全因死亡率(2.3(2.0-2.7))的风险比增加。没有一个经典的心血管和心电图预测指标提供更大的风险比。在对这些预测指标进行调整后,异常空间QRS-T角与所有致命研究终点的关联仍然很强,但与非致命性心脏事件的关联消失。Akaike信息准则的计算表明,该角度对经典心血管和心电图预测指标对所有致命终点的预测有显著贡献。
空间QRS-T角是老年人心脏死亡率的一个强有力的独立预测指标。它比任何经典的心血管危险因素和心电图风险指标都更强,并且在预测致命性心脏事件方面为它们提供了额外的价值。