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失业与自杀。存在因果关联的证据吗?

Unemployment and suicide. Evidence for a causal association?

作者信息

Blakely T A, Collings S C D, Atkinson J

机构信息

Department of Public Health, Wellington School of Medicine, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.

出版信息

J Epidemiol Community Health. 2003 Aug;57(8):594-600. doi: 10.1136/jech.57.8.594.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To determine the independent associations of labour force status and socioeconomic position with death by suicide.

DESIGN

Cohort study assembled by anonymous and probabilistic record linkage of census and mortality records.

PARTICIPANTS

2.04 million respondents to the New Zealand 1991 census aged 18-64 years.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Suicide in the three years after census night.

RESULTS

The age adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of death by suicide among 25 to 64 year olds who were unemployed compared with employed were 2.46 (1.10 to 5.49) for women and 2.63 (1.87 to 3.70) for men. Similarly increased odds ratios were observed for the non-active labour force compared with the employed. Strong age only adjusted associations of suicide death with the socioeconomic factors of education (men only), car access, and household income were observed. Compared with those who were married on census night, the non-married had odds ratios of suicide of 1.81 (1.22 to 2.69) for women and 2.08 (1.66 to 2.61) for men. In a multivariable model the association of socioeconomic factors with suicide reduced to the null. However, marital status and labour force status remained strong predictors of suicide death. Unemployment was also strongly associated with suicide death among 18-24 year old men. Sensitivity analyses suggested that confounding by mental illness might explain about half, but not all, of the association between unemployment and suicide.

CONCLUSIONS

Being unemployed was associated with a twofold to threefold increased relative risk of death by suicide, compared with being employed. About half of this association might be attributable to confounding by mental illness.

摘要

目的

确定劳动力状况和社会经济地位与自杀死亡之间的独立关联。

设计

通过对人口普查和死亡率记录进行匿名和概率性记录链接组建的队列研究。

参与者

204万1991年新西兰人口普查中年龄在18 - 64岁的受访者。

主要结局指标

普查夜后三年内的自杀情况。

结果

与就业者相比,25至64岁失业女性自杀死亡的年龄调整优势比(95%置信区间)为2.46(1.10至5.49),男性为2.63(1.87至3.70)。与就业者相比,非劳动力人群的优势比也有类似增加。观察到自杀死亡仅与教育程度(仅男性)、是否有车以及家庭收入等社会经济因素存在年龄调整后的强关联。与普查夜已婚者相比,未婚女性自杀的优势比为1.81(1.22至2.69),男性为2.08(1.66至2.61)。在多变量模型中,社会经济因素与自杀之间的关联降至零。然而,婚姻状况和劳动力状况仍然是自杀死亡的强预测因素。失业与18 - 24岁男性的自杀死亡也密切相关。敏感性分析表明,精神疾病造成的混杂可能解释了失业与自杀之间约一半但并非全部的关联。

结论

与就业相比,失业与自杀死亡的相对风险增加两倍至三倍有关。这种关联中约一半可能归因于精神疾病造成的混杂。

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