Rhodes J Kelly, Pelzer Kevin D, Johnson Yvette J
Department of Veterinary Medicine, Virginia-Maryland Regional College of Veterinary Medicine, College Park, MD 20742, USA.
J Am Vet Med Assoc. 2003 Aug 1;223(3):346-52. doi: 10.2460/javma.2003.223.346.
To determine the baseline costs of bovine leukemia virus (BLV) infection, including costs of clinical disease and subclinical infection, in a dairy herd representative of the mid-Atlantic region and compare these costs with the cost of a test-and-manage BLV control program.
Stochastic spreadsheet model.
A commercial Holstein dairy herd with 100 milking cows.
A spreadsheet model was developed. The overall cost of infection included the cost of clinical disease (ie, lymphosarcoma [LS]) and the effects of subclinical infection on milk production and premature culling. Model input values and distributions were designed to reflect economic conditions in the mid-Atlantic region. Relative costs of infection and control were calculated for infection prevalences of 20, 50, and 80%.
Estimated mean cost to the producer per case of LS was 412 dollars; for a herd with a 50% prevalence of BLV infection, annual incidence of LS was 0.66. Mean annual cost of subclinical infection at a 50% prevalence of infection was 6,406 dollars. Mean annual cost of a test-and-manage control program was 1,765 dollars. The cost of clinical disease and subclinical infection varied substantially with the prevalence of infection, whereas the cost of control varied with herd size.
Results suggested that a basic BLV control program may be economically beneficial in herds in which the prevalence of BLV infection is > or = 12.5%. Farm-specific considerations may factor prominently when weighing the costs and benefits of an individual BLV control program.
确定在代表大西洋中部地区的奶牛场中,牛白血病病毒(BLV)感染的基线成本,包括临床疾病和亚临床感染的成本,并将这些成本与检测和管理BLV控制计划的成本进行比较。
随机电子表格模型。
一个拥有100头泌乳奶牛的商业荷斯坦奶牛场。
开发了一个电子表格模型。感染的总成本包括临床疾病(即淋巴肉瘤[LS])的成本以及亚临床感染对产奶量和过早淘汰的影响。模型输入值和分布旨在反映大西洋中部地区的经济状况。计算了感染率为20%、50%和80%时感染和控制的相对成本。
估计每例LS生产者的平均成本为412美元;对于BLV感染率为50%的牛群,LS的年发病率为0.66。感染率为50%时亚临床感染的年均成本为6406美元。检测和管理控制计划的年均成本为1765美元。临床疾病和亚临床感染的成本随感染率的变化而大幅波动,而控制成本随牛群规模的变化而变化。
结果表明,在BLV感染率≥12.5%的牛群中,基本的BLV控制计划可能在经济上有益。在权衡单个BLV控制计划的成本和收益时,农场特定因素可能起重要作用。