Frangakis Constantine E, Rubin Donald B, Zhou Xiao-Hua
Department of Biostatistics, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA.
Biostatistics. 2002 Jun;3(2):147-64. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/3.2.147.
In many studies comparing a new 'target treatment' with a control target treatment, the received treatment does not always agree with assigned treatment-that is, the compliance is imperfect. An obvious example arises when ethical or practical constraints prevent even the randomized assignment of receipt of the new target treatment but allow the randomized assignment of the encouragement to receive this treatment. In fact, many randomized experiments where compliance is not enforced by the experimenter (e.g. with non-blinded assignment) may be more accurately thought of as randomized encouragement designs. Moreover, often the assignment of encouragement is at the level of clusters (e.g. doctors) where the compliance with the assignment varies across the units (e.g. patients) within clusters. We refer to such studies as 'clustered encouragement designs' (CEDs) and they arise relatively frequently (e.g. Sommer and Zeger, 1991; McDonald et al., 1992; Dexter et al., 1998) Here, we propose Bayesian methodology for causal inference for the effect of the new target treatment versus the control target treatment in the randomized CED with all-or-none compliance at the unit level, which generalizes the approach of Hirano et al. (2000) in important and surprisingly subtle ways, to account for the clustering, which is necessary for statistical validity. We illustrate our methods using data from a recent study exploring the role of physician consulting in increasing patients' completion of Advance Directive forms.
在许多将新的“目标治疗”与对照目标治疗进行比较的研究中,接受的治疗并不总是与分配的治疗一致,也就是说,依从性并不完美。当伦理或实际限制甚至阻止新目标治疗的随机分配,但允许对接受该治疗的鼓励进行随机分配时,就会出现一个明显的例子。事实上,许多实验者不强制依从性的随机实验(例如非盲法分配)可能更准确地被视为随机鼓励设计。此外,鼓励的分配通常是在集群层面(例如医生),而集群内各单位(例如患者)对分配的依从性各不相同。我们将此类研究称为“集群鼓励设计”(CEDs),它们相对频繁地出现(例如Sommer和Zeger,1991年;McDonald等人,1992年;Dexter等人,1998年)。在此,我们提出了贝叶斯方法,用于在单位层面具有全有或全无依从性的随机CED中对新目标治疗与对照目标治疗的效果进行因果推断,该方法以重要且出人意料的微妙方式推广了Hirano等人(2000年)的方法,以考虑聚类,这对于统计有效性是必要的。我们使用最近一项探索医生咨询在提高患者完成预立医疗指示表格方面作用的研究数据来说明我们的方法。