Uphoff H, Cohen J-M, Fleming D, Noone A
Deutsches Gruenes Kreutz, Marburg, Germany.
Euro Surveill. 2003 Jul;8(7):156-64. doi: 10.2807/esm.08.07.00420-en.
The European Influenza Surveillance Scheme is a collaboration with 18 member countries (2001/02) which monitors the activity and impact of influenza by collecting morbidity and virological data in primary care facilities throughout the winter season each year. Despite being in principle similar in the surveillance concept, the indicators used and observations made are very different. Different healthcare systems and organisational needs (eg a certificate of illness for the employer) influence the consultation behaviour. Furthermore, and partly as a result of differences in the healthcare systems, the definitions used for the numerator and denominator when calculating morbidity rates are different. Thus comparative interpretation of participating countries' morbidity data is extremely difficult. Reporting 'harmonisation' by using equivalent numerators and denominators is one option but is difficult to achieve in the short term. Moreover, several additional issues would need to be considered, for example, the need for continuity of surveillance and whether such steps would indeed result in direct comparability etc. A simple index was tested, through which the impact of influenza morbidity in any one year is compared with what is considered a 'usual' epidemic in that country. The index in principle describes numerically the extent to which the influenza-attributable excess morbidity in the current epidemic in each country is within, exceeds, or is less than a range typical for an influenza epidemic. In this pilot study, the usefulness of such an index is explored with the example of eight countries for the seasons 1999/2000 and 2000/01. A fine tuning of the methods has not yet been performed.
欧洲流感监测计划是一项与18个成员国(2001/02年度)开展的合作项目,该计划通过在每年冬季收集基层医疗设施中的发病率和病毒学数据,来监测流感的活动情况及其影响。尽管在监测概念上原则相似,但所使用的指标和得出的观察结果却大不相同。不同的医疗体系和组织需求(例如雇主所需的疾病证明)会影响就诊行为。此外,部分由于医疗体系的差异,计算发病率时分子和分母所采用的定义也有所不同。因此,对参与国的发病率数据进行比较解读极为困难。采用等效的分子和分母进行报告“协调统一”是一种选择,但短期内难以实现。此外,还需要考虑若干其他问题,例如监测的连续性需求以及这些举措是否真的能带来直接可比性等。一个简单的指数经过了测试,通过该指数可将任何一年流感发病率的影响与该国被视为“正常”流行情况进行比较。该指数原则上从数值上描述了每个国家当前疫情中流感所致超额发病率处于、超过或低于流感流行典型范围的程度。在这项试点研究中,以1999/2000年和2000/01年八个国家的情况为例,探讨了这样一个指数的实用性。方法的微调工作尚未开展。