Uchida E, Araki S, Murata K
Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tokyo, Japan.
J Hum Ergol (Tokyo). 1992 Dec;21(2):107-18.
The effects of a wide variety of social, economic and demographic factors on age-specific first marriage and live birth rates in 46 Japanese prefectures were analyzed using stepwise regression analysis for 1970 and again for 1975 after classification of those twenty-two factors by factor analysis. The principal results were as follows: (1) high employment (high income) and social mobility caused by industrialization had a strongly positive influence on the first marriage and birth rates for young females, (2) rural and urban residence factors had positive effects on the marriage and birth rates for young males and females, respectively, (3) old age factor had an inverse effect on the marriage rates for both males and females over a wide range of ages, and (4) young age factor promoted the birth rate for young and middle-aged females. The characteristics of the first marriage and live birth rates in Japan were discussed in the light of these findings.
在通过因子分析对22个因素进行分类后，运用逐步回归分析，对1970年以及1975年日本46个县中各种社会、经济和人口因素对特定年龄组初婚率和生育率的影响进行了分析。主要结果如下：(1) 工业化带来的高就业率（高收入）和社会流动性对年轻女性的初婚率和生育率有强烈的正向影响；(2) 农村和城市居住因素分别对年轻男性和女性的结婚率和生育率有正向影响；(3) 老年因素在广泛的年龄范围内对男性和女性的结婚率有反向影响；(4) 年轻因素促进了年轻和中年女性的生育率。根据这些研究结果，对日本初婚率和生育率的特征进行了讨论。
