Uchida E, Araki S, Murata K
Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tokyo, Japan.
J Biosoc Sci. 1993 Oct;25(4):499-507. doi: 10.1017/s0021932000021878.
The effects of low income, urbanisation and young age population on age-adjusted rates of first marriage, divorce and live birth among the Japanese population in 46 prefectures were analysed by stepwise regression for 1970 and for 1975. During this period, Japanese society experienced a drastic change from long-lasting economic growth to serious recession in 1973. In both 1970 and 1975, the first marriage rate for females was inversely related to low income and the divorce rates for both males and females were positively related to low income. The live birth rate was significantly related to low income, urbanisation and young age population only in 1975. The first marriage rate for females and the divorce rates for both sexes increased significantly but the first marriage rate for males and live birth rate significantly decreased between 1970 and 1975. These findings suggest that low income was the essential factor affecting first marriage for females and divorce for males and females.
通过逐步回归分析,研究了1970年和1975年日本46个县的低收入、城市化和年轻人口对年龄调整后的初婚率、离婚率和活产率的影响。在此期间,日本社会经历了从长期经济增长到1973年严重衰退的急剧变化。在1970年和1975年,女性初婚率均与低收入呈负相关,男性和女性的离婚率均与低收入呈正相关。仅在1975年,活产率与低收入、城市化和年轻人口显著相关。1970年至1975年间,女性初婚率和两性离婚率显著上升,但男性初婚率和活产率显著下降。这些研究结果表明,低收入是影响女性初婚和男性及女性离婚的关键因素。