Serum cholesterol and 20-year mortality in black and white men and women aged 65 and older in the Evans County Heart Study.

Serum cholesterol and 20-year mortality rates were studied in 396 Evans County black and white men and women who were 65 years and older and free of prevalent coronary heart disease (CHD) at baseline examination in 1960 to 1962. Previous reports on Evans County men and women younger than 65 found cholesterol levels to be significantly associated with all-cause and CHD mortality in white men, with CHD mortality in black men, and with cardiovascular disease mortality in white women. The independent role of total serum cholesterol as a predictor of CHD and all-cause mortality in the 65-and-older age group was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models. Among white men, serum cholesterol level was positively associated with CHD mortality (relative risk of 1.54, P < 0.05 for an increment of 40 mg/dL [1.03 mmol/L], or one standard deviation in cholesterol). A significant J-shaped relationship of cholesterol with all-cause mortality was found among white men. Among black women, cholesterol was negatively associated with all-cause mortality. Neither all-cause nor CHD mortality was related to serum cholesterol among black men or white women. Although based on small numbers, the results of this study suggest that in Evans County, total serum cholesterol is an independent predictor of mortality in white men aged 65 and over, while these results should not be generalized to other race-gender groups in this cohort.