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炎热天气下的空调与死亡率

Air-conditioning and mortality in hot weather.

作者信息

Rogot E, Sorlie P D, Backlund E

机构信息

Epidemiology Program, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, MD 20892.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 1992 Jul 1;136(1):106-16. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a116413.

Abstract

A cohort of 72,740 persons for whom information on household air-conditioning was available was monitored for mortality via the National Death Index from April 1980 through December 1985. A total of 2,275 deaths occurred among the members of this cohort. The basic question addressed was whether persons in households with air-conditioning experienced lower death rates during hot weather than persons in households without air-conditioning. This question was examined for both central and room air-conditioning. The analysis was based on a state-by-state approach, that cross-tabulated deaths by air-conditioning status (yes or no) and average temperature during the month of death (less than 21.2 degrees C (less than 70 degrees F) or greater than or equal to 21.2 degrees C (greater than or equal to 70 degrees F)). The Mantel-Haenszel and sign tests were used to summarize the data. For central air-conditioning versus no air-conditioning, statistically significant benefits (p less than 0.05, Mantel-Haenszel test) were observed for the overall total, for females, for persons not in the labor force, and for persons living in fewer than six rooms. These groups had more exposure to air-conditioning. The relative risk for the total group was 0.58, implying that in hot weather, the death rate for persons who had central air-conditioning was 42 percent lower than the rate for persons who did not have air-conditioning, after confounding variables had been controlled for. For room air-conditioning versus no air-conditioning, the odds ratio for the total group was 0.96, which was not significantly different from 1.0, suggesting that no real benefit was derived from room air-conditioning. Some reasons for the lack of a demonstrable benefit for room air-conditioning are given.

摘要

对72740名有家庭空调信息的人群进行了监测,通过国家死亡指数从1980年4月至1985年12月追踪其死亡率。该队列成员共发生2275例死亡。所探讨的基本问题是,在炎热天气下,有空调家庭中的人死亡率是否低于没有空调家庭中的人。针对中央空调和分体空调都研究了这个问题。分析采用逐个州的方法,按空调使用状况(有或无)和死亡当月的平均温度(低于21.2摄氏度(低于70华氏度)或大于或等于21.2摄氏度(大于或等于70华氏度))对死亡情况进行交叉制表。使用Mantel-Haenszel检验和符号检验对数据进行汇总。对于中央空调与无空调的情况,在总体、女性、非劳动力人群以及居住房间少于六间的人群中观察到了具有统计学意义的益处(p<0.05,Mantel-Haenszel检验)。这些人群接触空调的机会更多。总体人群的相对风险为0.58,这意味着在炎热天气下,在控制了混杂变量后,有中央空调的人的死亡率比没有空调的人低42%。对于分体空调与无空调的情况,总体人群的优势比为0.96,与1.0没有显著差异,这表明分体空调没有带来实际益处。文中给出了分体空调缺乏明显益处的一些原因。

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