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病例对照研究中把定量暴露分类为定性暴露所导致的效率损失。

Efficiency loss from categorizing quantitative exposures into qualitative exposures in case-control studies.

作者信息

Zhao L P, Kolonel L N

机构信息

Epidemiology Program, Cancer Research Center of Hawaii, Honolulu 96813.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 1992 Aug 15;136(4):464-74. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a116520.

Abstract

In the analysis of data from case-control studies, quantitative exposure variables are frequently categorized into qualitative exposure variables, such as quarters. The qualitative exposure variables may be scalar variables that take the median values of each quantile interval, or they may be vectors of indicator variables that represent each quantile interval. In a qualitative analysis, the scalar variables may be used to test the dose-response relation, while the indicator variables may be used to estimate odds ratios for each higher quantile interval versus the lowest. Qualitative analysis, implicitly and explicitly documented by many epidemiologists and biostatisticians, has several desirable advantages (including simple interpretation and robustness in the presence of a misspecified model or outlier values). In a quantitative analysis, the quantitative exposure variables may be directly regressed to test the dose-response relation, as well as to estimate odds ratios of interest. As this paper demonstrates, quantitative analysis is generally more efficient than qualitative analysis. Through a Monte Carlo simulation study, the authors estimated the loss of efficiency that results from categorizing a quantitative exposure variable by quartiles in case-control studies with a total of 200 cases and 200 controls. In the analysis of the dose-response relation, this loss is about 30% or more; the percentage may reach about 50% when the odds ratio for the fourth quartile interval versus the lowest is around 4. In estimating odds ratios, the loss of efficiency for the second, third, and fourth quartile intervals versus the lowest is around 90%, 75%, and 40%, respectively. The authors consider the pros and cons of each analytic approach, and they recommend that 1) qualitative analysis be used initially to estimate the odds ratios for each higher quantile interval versus the lowest to examine the dose-response relation and determine the appropriateness of the assumed underlying model; and 2) quantitative analysis be used to test the dose-response relation under a plausible log odds ratio model.

摘要

在病例对照研究的数据分析中,定量暴露变量常常被分类为定性暴露变量,比如四分位数。这些定性暴露变量可以是取每个分位数区间中位数的标量变量,也可以是代表每个分位数区间的指示变量向量。在定性分析中,标量变量可用于检验剂量反应关系,而指示变量可用于估计每个较高分位数区间与最低分位数区间相比的比值比。许多流行病学家和生物统计学家都明确或隐含地记录了定性分析具有几个理想的优点(包括易于解释以及在模型设定错误或存在异常值的情况下具有稳健性)。在定量分析中,定量暴露变量可以直接进行回归分析,以检验剂量反应关系,并估计感兴趣的比值比。正如本文所证明的,定量分析通常比定性分析更有效。通过蒙特卡洛模拟研究,作者估计了在共有200例病例和200例对照的病例对照研究中,将定量暴露变量按四分位数分类所导致的效率损失。在剂量反应关系分析中,这种损失约为30%或更多;当第四分位数区间与最低分位数区间的比值比约为4时,该百分比可能达到约50%。在估计比值比时,第二、第三和第四分位数区间与最低分位数区间相比的效率损失分别约为90%、75%和40%。作者考虑了每种分析方法的优缺点,并建议:1)最初使用定性分析来估计每个较高分位数区间与最低分位数区间相比的比值比,以检验剂量反应关系并确定假设的基础模型的适用性;2)在合理的对数比值比模型下,使用定量分析来检验剂量反应关系。

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