DOLL R, FISHER R E, GAMMON E J, GUNN W, HUGHES G O, TYRER F H, WILSON W
Br J Ind Med. 1965 Jan;22(1):1-12. doi: 10.1136/oem.22.1.1.
The mortality of selected groups of gasworkers has been observed over a period of eight years, and a comparison has been made of the mortality from different causes among different occupational groups. Men were included in the study if they had been employed by the industry for more than five years and were between 40 and 65 years of age when the observations began. All employees and pensioners of four area Gas Boards who met these conditions were initially included; but the number was subsequently reduced to 11,499 by excluding many of the occupations which did not involve entry into the carbonizing plants or involved this only irregularly. All but 0·4% of the men were followed successfully throughout the study. Mortality rates, standardized for age, were calculated for 10 diseases, or groups of diseases, for each of three broad occupational classes, those having heavy exposure in carbonizing plants (class A), intermittent exposure or exposure to conditions in other gas-producing plants (class B), and such exposure (class C). The results showed that the annual death rate was highest in class A (17·2 per 1,000), intermediate in class B (14·6 per 1,000), and lowest in class C (13·7 per 1,000), the corresponding mortallity for all men in England and Wales over the same period being slightly lower than the rate for class A (16·3 per 1,000). The differences between the three classes were largely accounted for by two diseases, cancer of the lung and bronchitis. For cancer of the lung the death rate (3·06 per 1,000) was 69% higher in class A than in class C; for bronchitis (2·89 per 1,000) it was 126% higher. For both diseases the mortality in class B was only slightly higher than in class C, and in both these categories the mortality was close to that observed in the country as a whole. Three other causes of death showed higher death rates in the exposed classes than in the unexposed or in the country as a whole, but the numbers of deaths attributed to them were very small. The death rate from cancer of the bladder in class A was four times that in class C, but the total number of deaths was only 14. Five deaths were attributed to pneumoconiosis, four of which occurred in bricklayers (class B). One death from cancer of the scrotum occurred in a retort house worker. For other causes of death the mortality rates were similar to or lower than the corresponding national rates. Examination of the data separately for each area Board showed that the excess mortality from lung cancer and chronic bronchitis in retort house workers persisted in each area. For two Boards the mortality from other causes was close to that recorded for other men living in the same region; in the other two Boards it was substantially lower. A comparison between the mortality of men who worked in horizontal retort houses and of those who worked in vertical houses suggested that the risk of lung cancer was greater in the horizontal houses and the risk of bronchitis was greater in the vertical houses, the differences being, however, not statistically significant. In the light of these and other data, it is concluded that exposure to products of coal carbonization can give rise to cancer of the lung and to bronchitis, and probably also to cancer of the bladder. A risk of pneumoconiosis from work on the repair and setting of retorts is confirmed.
在八年的时间里,对特定群体的煤气工人的死亡率进行了观察,并对不同职业群体中不同病因导致的死亡率进行了比较。如果男性从事该行业超过五年,且在观察开始时年龄在40至65岁之间,则纳入该研究。最初纳入了符合这些条件的四个地区煤气委员会的所有员工和退休人员;但随后通过排除许多不涉及进入碳化厂或只是偶尔进入碳化厂的职业,人数减少到11,499人。在整个研究过程中,除了0.4%的男性外,其他男性都被成功追踪。针对三个广泛的职业类别,即碳化厂重度暴露者(A类)、间歇性暴露或其他煤气生产厂暴露者(B类)以及此类暴露者(C类),分别计算了10种疾病或疾病组的年龄标准化死亡率。结果显示,A类的年死亡率最高(每1000人中有17.2人),B类居中(每1000人中有14.6人),C类最低(每1000人中有13.7人),同期英格兰和威尔士所有男性的相应死亡率略低于A类(每1000人中有16.3人)。这三个类别之间的差异主要由两种疾病造成,即肺癌和支气管炎。肺癌的死亡率(每1000人中有3.06人),A类比C类高69%;支气管炎(每1000人中有2.89人),A类比C类高126%。对于这两种疾病,B类的死亡率仅略高于C类,并且在这两个类别中,死亡率都接近全国整体观察到的水平。其他三种死因在暴露类别中的死亡率高于未暴露者或全国整体水平,但归因于这些死因的死亡人数非常少。A类中膀胱癌的死亡率是C类的四倍,但死亡总数仅为14人。有五例死亡归因于尘肺病,其中四例发生在砖匠(B类)身上。一名蒸馏室工人死于阴囊癌。对于其他死因,死亡率与相应的全国水平相似或更低。对每个地区委员会的数据分别进行检查表明,蒸馏室工人中肺癌和慢性支气管炎的超额死亡率在每个地区都持续存在。对于两个委员会,其他死因的死亡率接近居住在同一地区的其他男性的记录水平;在另外两个委员会中,死亡率则显著更低。对在卧式蒸馏室工作的男性和在立式蒸馏室工作的男性的死亡率进行比较表明,卧式蒸馏室患肺癌的风险更大,立式蒸馏室患支气管炎的风险更大,然而,差异无统计学意义。根据这些和其他数据,可以得出结论,接触煤炭碳化产品可导致肺癌和支气管炎,也可能导致膀胱癌。蒸馏器维修和安装工作导致尘肺病的风险得到了证实。