Suslov I M
Zh Mikrobiol Epidemiol Immunobiol. 1992 Feb(2):34-8.
A method for the identification of the forms of the epidemic process in dysentery (annual, seasonal and outbreak forms) has been worked out. The method is based on the calculation of the upper limits of annual and seasonal morbidity from the data on the period of several years with the use of the formulae of binomial distribution, serving as the mathematical model of alternative random values, such as morbidity. The comparison of actual morbidity for each year of the analyzed period with the upper limits of annual and seasonal morbidity helps identify the form of the epidemic process.
已经制定出一种用于识别痢疾流行过程形式（年度、季节性和暴发形式）的方法。该方法基于利用二项分布公式，根据数年期间的数据计算年度和季节性发病率的上限，二项分布公式作为诸如发病率等交替随机值的数学模型。将分析期内各年的实际发病率与年度和季节性发病率上限进行比较，有助于确定流行过程的形式。
